South Carolina Senate winner?
Related terms
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Democratic Party (United States) -
Republican Party (United States) -
United States Senate -
South Carolina -
2024 United States Senate elections -
Government and politics of South Carolina
Total Volume
$11.6m
Kalshi $7.6m · Polymarket $4m
Leading Market
Darline Graham
Kalshi 73% · Polymarket 73%
Darline Graham Volume
$3.7m
Kalshi $2.7m · Polymarket $1.1m
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darline GrahamRepublican Party | 73.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
73.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Annie AndrewsDemocratic Party | 28.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
28.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
2028 Cycle
Pritzker tours South Carolina, stokes 2028 speculation with anti-Trump message
PN Team • 3 weeks ago
Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker spent a day campaigning across South Carolina, headlining the state NAACP's annual convention and stumping for Democratic candidates including Senate nominee Annie Andrews and gubernatorial nominee Jermaine Johnson. Pritzker urged Democrats to be more combative toward President Trump and Republicans, saying the party has been "too dainty" and "too nice," and calling for a "team fight" posture ahead of the midterms.
Pritzker, who faces reelection in Illinois next month, declined to say whether he's running for president in 2028, framing the trip as support for down-ballot Democrats. Still, his appearance before Black voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state fueled speculation about his national ambitions. He also voiced concern that federal immigration enforcement could be used to intimidate voters in competitive states like South Carolina, and touted his financial support for Southern Democratic candidates, including a $1 million donation to Texas gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is portrayed as the target of criticism and the figure Democrats are urged to fight harder against.
- Democratic Party (United States) Pritzker urges Democrats to adopt a more combative stance, a tangential strategic commentary on the party.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans are framed as the opposition target of Pritzker's combative rhetoric.
- South Carolina South Carolina is the setting for Pritzker's political tour, portrayed neutrally as a strategic early-primary state.
- United States Senate The Senate race is mentioned factually as context for Pritzker's campaign stops.
- Illinois Illinois is mentioned factually as Pritzker's home state and site of his upcoming reelection.
Related Events
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Elections
Norman Says Family Will Not Vote for Sen. Graham in South Carolina Race
PN Team • 1 week ago
Rep. Ralph Norman said he will keep his pledge to vote for Sen. Darline Graham in the November midterms, but his family will not support her, and he will not campaign on her behalf. Norman, who lost to Graham in the August GOP primary runoff, has repeatedly criticized Trump's endorsement of her and the state GOP establishment's involvement in the race. Graham, appointed to fill the seat after the death of her brother Lindsey Graham, faces Democrat Annie Andrews in a contest that the Cook Political Report recently shifted from "Likely Republican" to "Lean Republican." Trump campaigned for Graham in South Carolina this week as the race tightens.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Republican Party (United States) Depicted as internally divided, with Norman criticizing the state GOP establishment's handling of the race.
- Donald Trump Trump's endorsement of Graham is criticized by Norman, casting mild doubt on his judgment amid a tightening race.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned neutrally as the party of challenger Annie Andrews in a tightening race.
- South Carolina Mentioned as the setting for a competitive, tightening political race without direct reputational judgment.
- United States House of Representatives Referenced only as Norman's chamber of service, without evaluative content.
- United States Senate Referenced as the body Graham and Norman are associated with, factual context only.
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2028 Cycle
Warnock campaigns in South Carolina, fueling 2028 speculation
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock drew on his history as senior pastor of Atlanta's Ebenezer Baptist Church during an Oct. 13 stop in Columbia, South Carolina, telling Democrats and clergy they could not afford to lose the "fight between hope and despair." He criticized Republican cuts to food stamps and Medicaid eligibility, invoked civil rights history, and urged support for Senate candidate Annie Andrews.
Warnock plans to return to South Carolina this weekend to campaign with Andrews and gubernatorial nominee Jermaine Johnson ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms and early voting. His visits to South Carolina, along with earlier stops in New Hampshire and Nevada — the early presidential primary states — have renewed speculation about a 2028 presidential bid. Warnock downplayed the talk, saying he is focused on 2026 and retaking a Senate majority. Other Democrats eyeing national profiles, including Rahm Emanuel, Andy Beshear, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg, have also recently visited the early-voting state.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Raphael Warnock Warnock is portrayed as a prominent, principled Democratic figure drawing national attention and rising political speculation.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans are criticized for cuts to food stamps and Medicaid eligibility, casting them negatively.
- South Carolina South Carolina is central to the story as the site of Warnock's campaigning and speculation about his political future.
- Atlanta Atlanta is mentioned as the location of Warnock's church, a neutral biographical detail.
- Columbia, South Carolina Columbia, South Carolina is the site of Warnock's campaign stop, mentioned factually.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrats are mentioned as the audience and political context without strong positive or negative framing.
- Georgia (U.S. state) Georgia is mentioned as Warnock's home state in a neutral factual context.
- Nevada Nevada is mentioned as an early primary state Warnock visited, factual and neutral.
- New Hampshire New Hampshire is mentioned as an early primary state Warnock visited, factual and neutral.
- United States Senate The Senate is mentioned as the institution Warnock serves in and aims to help Democrats retake, a neutral factual reference.
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Elections
Cook Political Report shifts Mississippi, South Carolina Senate races toward Democrats
PN Team • 1 week ago
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has moved South Carolina's Senate race to "lean Republican" from "likely Republican" and Mississippi's to "likely Republican" from "solid Republican," citing candidate quality and Democrats' broader push into red territory. Democrats are backing the shift with money: the Senate Majority PAC announced a $1.2 million ad buy in Mississippi attacking incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, boosting Democratic nominee Scott Colom. In South Carolina, Democrat Annie Andrews is challenging appointed Sen. Darline Graham. Both races remain steep climbs for Democrats given past Republican margins, but the ratings change adds two more contests to the list Republicans must defend amid economic headwinds ahead of the midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrats are portrayed as gaining momentum with improved race ratings and significant ad spending in two Republican-leaning states.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans are described as facing new vulnerabilities and having to defend additional seats amid economic headwinds.
- Mississippi Mississippi is mentioned factually as the site of a competitive Senate race shift.
- South Carolina South Carolina is mentioned factually as the site of a competitive Senate race shift.
- United States The United States is mentioned only as general context for the midterm elections.
- United States Senate The article factually discusses Senate races without direct characterization of the institution itself.
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Elections
South Carolina Senate Race Tightens Between Graham and Andrews
PN Team • 3 days ago
A new poll shows Sen. Darline Graham (R-SC) in a close contest with Democratic nominee Annie Andrews ahead of the midterm election. Graham was appointed to the seat in July after the death of her brother, longtime Sen. Lindsey Graham, and later won a contentious primary against Rep. Ralph Norman after Trump urged her to seek a full term. The tight polling signals potential vulnerability for Graham in a state that typically favors Republicans, raising the stakes for prediction markets tracking control of the seat and broader Senate majority outcomes in the midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned only as the party of the opposing nominee in a factual poll report.
- South Carolina Described neutrally as a state with a political leaning amid a close Senate race.
- United States Senate Referenced as the body whose majority outcome is tied to the race, without evaluative framing.
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Elections
South Carolina Republicans Vote in Runoff to Fill Lindsey Graham’s Senate Seat
PN Team • 2 months ago
South Carolina voters headed to the polls on Aug. 25 in a Republican runoff to determine who will hold the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by the death of Sen. Lindsey Graham. Sen. Darline Graham, appointed to the seat by Gov. Henry McMaster after her brother's passing, faced Rep. Ralph Norman, a 7th District congressman known for clashing with House leadership. Neither candidate cleared 50 percent in the Aug. 11 primary, with Graham taking about 33 percent and Norman about 24 percent, triggering the runoff.
President Donald Trump endorsed Graham and campaigned for her in Myrtle Beach, framing the race as important to Republican midterm prospects. Graham drew criticism after saying "national security is not my thing" during an Aug. 18 debate, prompting rebukes from Norman and former Gov. Nikki Haley, though Trump defended her. Third-place finisher Rep. Russell Fry endorsed Graham, while fourth-place finisher Mark Sanford, a Trump critic, backed Norman. The winner is heavily favored in the general election against Democrat Andrews in the deep-red state.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is portrayed positively as an active endorser and defender of Graham, reinforcing his political influence.
- Nikki Haley Haley is shown criticizing Graham, casting her in a mildly adversarial light.
- Republican Party (United States) The party context frames the runoff but is described neutrally as the dominant party in a deep-red state.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned only as the party of the general election opponent Andrews, a neutral factual reference.
- South Carolina South Carolina is the neutral setting for the election described.
- United States Congress Referenced only via Norman's congressional role, a neutral factual detail.
- United States Senate The Senate seat itself is the neutral subject of the runoff race.
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Elections
Trump-Backed Graham Wins South Carolina GOP Senate Runoff
PN Team • 2 months ago
Sen. Darline Graham defeated Rep. Ralph Norman 52% to 48% in South Carolina's Republican runoff for the Senate seat held by her brother Lindsey Graham for 23 years before his death in July. Gov. Henry McMaster had appointed her to fill the seat temporarily, and President Trump endorsed her bid for a full term, holding a tele-rally and headlining a Myrtle Beach rally while directing more than $800,000 from his super PAC, MAGA Inc., toward her campaign. Norman, a five-term congressman who largely self-funded his campaign and drew roughly $700,000 in outside spending tied to Nikki Haley, conceded but noted lingering bitterness among his supporters over Trump's involvement. Graham had weathered criticism after admitting during an August debate she was "not that informed on national security," shifting her campaign's focus to domestic issues and her brother's legacy. She now advances to face Democrat Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, in the November 3 general election for the seat, considered a safe Republican hold.
The result, alongside a narrow Trump-backed win in Oklahoma's gubernatorial runoff, reinforces the president's continued sway in GOP primaries despite recent Trump-endorsed losses elsewhere, including Wyoming and Florida.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's endorsement, rallies, and financial backing are credited with helping secure Graham's win, reinforcing his political influence.
- Republican Party (United States) The Republican runoff and Trump's continued influence over the GOP primary process are portrayed favorably for the party's coalition.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrat Annie Andrews is named as the party's nominee facing Graham, a neutral factual mention.
- Nikki Haley Haley's allies backed Norman's losing effort, a mild tangential association with defeat.
- Oklahoma Oklahoma's gubernatorial runoff is cited as another example reinforcing Trump's primary influence.
- South Carolina South Carolina is the central location of the Senate runoff, described neutrally as the setting for the political contest.
- Wyoming Wyoming is mentioned only as a location of a separate Trump-endorsed primary loss, tangential to this story.
- Florida Florida is mentioned only as a location of a separate Trump-endorsed primary loss, tangential to this race.
- United States House of Representatives Referenced only as the chamber Norman and Graham's brother served in, a neutral institutional mention.
- United States Senate Mentioned as the seat being contested, a neutral factual reference.
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Elections
South Carolina Senate Race Tightens Between Graham and Andrews
PN Team • 2 days ago
A new New York Times poll shows appointed Sen. Darline Graham (R-SC) and Democratic nominee Annie Andrews in a near-even race, with Graham leading by less than one point among likely voters. Graham, who took the seat after her brother Lindsey Graham's death and later won a contested GOP primary, faces voter doubts about her experience, with a majority saying she lacks the qualifications for the job. Andrews leads among independents and draws some crossover Republican support, with voters favoring her on the economy and cost of living. Despite the close poll, forecasters still rate the seat as leaning Republican in a state Democrats haven't won statewide since 1998.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Andrews, the Democratic nominee, is shown gaining ground and crossover support in a tight race.
- United States Senate Senate seat described as contested with voter doubts about the incumbent's qualifications.
- Republican Party (United States) Republican seat faces voter doubts and a tight race despite historical dominance in the state.
- South Carolina State referenced factually as the race's location and historical Republican stronghold.
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Elections
South Carolina Senate candidates face off in lone debate before Election Day
PN Team • 3 weeks ago
The three candidates vying for South Carolina's U.S. Senate seat met Tuesday night in Columbia for their only scheduled debate before Election Day, held at SCETV studios and broadcast statewide across television, radio and digital platforms. Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham, Democrat Dr. Annie Andrews, and Libertarian Dr. Kasie Whitener each took part in the hour-long format, which allotted one minute for opening statements, one minute for responses, and 30-second rebuttals. Candidates did not see questions in advance and were barred from using notes or props.
The debate followed a contentious stretch of the campaign, including remarks from President Trump on Truth Social targeting Andrews over transgender-related issues. Recent polling has shown Graham leading Andrews by a narrow margin, within or close to the margin of error, while Whitener trails both.
With early voting set to begin within days and Election Day roughly three weeks away, the debate offered voters a rare direct comparison of the candidates' positions ahead of a race drawing national attention for its competitiveness.
Sources:
Sentiment
- South Carolina Mentioned neutrally as the state holding the Senate race.
- Columbia, South Carolina Mentioned neutrally as the debate's location.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned only as Andrews' party affiliation in a factual, neutral context.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned only as Graham's party affiliation in a factual, neutral context.
- United States Senate Referenced factually as the seat being contested.
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Elections
South Carolina Senate Race Draws Bipartisan Endorsement for Andrews
PN Team • 4 days ago
Two former South Carolina governors, Republican David Beasley and Democrat Jim Hodges, have jointly endorsed Democratic candidate Annie Andrews in her bid to unseat incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham. The endorsement, released in a campaign video, frames Andrews as an alternative to partisan gridlock, with both former governors saying the state deserves leadership focused on results rather than political fighting.
The general election field also includes Libertarian Kasie Whitener and Constitution Party candidate Mark Hackett. The cross-party backing adds a notable signal in a closely watched Senate contest.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Governor of South Carolina Two former holders of this office jointly lend credibility to a bipartisan endorsement.
- Democratic Party (United States) Party affiliation noted for the endorsing governor and candidate, framed neutrally as context.
- Republican Party (United States) Party affiliation noted for the endorsing governor and the incumbent, framed neutrally as context.
- South Carolina Mentioned neutrally as the state holding the Senate race.
- United States Senate Factual mention as the body whose seat is being contested.
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South Carolina Senate Race: Who Will Win
Leading:
72.5%
Darline Graham
Vol $1.1m
South Carolina Senate Race: Margin of Victory
Leading:
39%
Republican 0-5%
Vol $140.15
Which Senate Race Will Be Closer: Florida or South Carolina
Leading:
96%
Florida
Vol $0.00
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout Forecast
Leading:
98.5%
Above 1.4M
Vol $0.30
South Carolina’s 7th District House Race 2026
Leading:
95%
Russell Fry
Vol $19.3k
South Carolina Governor Race: Margin of Victory
Leading:
27%
Republican 5-10%
Vol $413.00
South Carolina’s 2nd District House Race 2026
Leading:
87.5%
Joe Wilson
Vol $2k
South Carolina’s 6th District House Race 2026
Leading:
99%
James E Jim Clyburn
Vol $9.6k