Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District House Race Winner
Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District will elect a member of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterms. The seat has long leaned Republican, covering a swath of Middle and West Tennessee suburbs and rural counties. Candidates from both major parties, along with potential independents, are positioning for the race ahead of primaries and the general election.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the U.S. House hinges on dozens of individual races like this one, making each district’s outcome part of a larger national power struggle. A shift in this historically safe seat would signal broader changes in voter sentiment across Tennessee and the South. Local economic conditions and candidate strength will shape turnout and competitiveness.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The question distills a multi-candidate contest into a binary and multi-outcome proposition: which party, or specific individual, ultimately secures the seat. Traders are effectively weighing incumbency strength, name recognition, and district partisanship against any signs of an upset. This framing isolates the final electoral outcome rather than campaign dynamics or fundraising totals along the way.
Related terms
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Democratic Party (United States) -
Republican Party (United States) -
Tennessee -
Anti-incumbency -
Middle Tennessee -
West Tennessee -
Tennessee's 7th congressional district
Total Volume
$34.5k
Kalshi $9.8k · Polymarket $24.6k
Leading Market
Matt Van Epps
Kalshi 96% · Polymarket 96%
Matt Van Epps Volume
$18.2k
Kalshi $4.2k · Polymarket $14k
Matt Van Epps 24h Change
-0.20%
Kalshi -0.20% · Polymarket 0.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Van EppsRepublican Party | 96.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Matt Van Epps on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 96.0¢ | 5% | , trade Matt Van Epps on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Darren CopelandDemocratic Party | 4.9¢ | 7.0% | , trade Darren Copeland on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 5.0¢ | 5% | , trade Darren Copeland on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Van EppsRepublican Party | $18,193.06 | ||
| Darren CopelandDemocratic Party | $16,261.62 |