Who Will Be Trump’s Next Press Secretary
Speculation is building over who could next serve as White House Press Secretary under President Trump. Karoline Leavitt currently holds the role, but turnover among top communications staff is common, and names are already circulating as potential successors should a change occur. Any transition would reshape how the administration communicates with the press and public.
Why Markets Are Watching
The Press Secretary shapes the administration’s daily message, manages reporter relationships, and often signals internal priorities and loyalty dynamics within the West Wing. A successor’s background, from campaign loyalists to media figures, would reveal how the administration plans to handle scrutiny and messaging discipline going forward.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Succession
This market isolates a single personnel question: which individual, if any, will formally hold the title next. It forces a ranking among potential contenders based on their proximity to Trump, political reliability, and public visibility. Traders are effectively weighing insider access against public speculation about who fits the communications role.
Related terms
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Donald Trump -
White House -
Marco Rubio -
White House Communications Director -
White House Press Secretary -
Tucker Carlson -
Spencer Pratt -
Katie Miller -
Kari Lake -
Tulsi Gabbard -
Economic policy of the Trump administration -
Laura Loomer -
Steven Cheung -
Maria Bartiromo -
Lara Trump -
Hogan Gidley -
Pat Adams -
Tricia McLaughlin -
Monica Crowley -
Rachel Campos-Duffy
Total Volume
$5.3m
Kalshi $4.9m · Polymarket $398.1k
Leading Market
Anna Kelly
Kalshi 22% · Polymarket 19%
Anna Kelly Volume
$525.4k
Kalshi $453.5k · Polymarket $72k
Anna Kelly 24h Change
+4.00%
Kalshi +4.00% · Polymarket +3.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kelly | 22.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
19.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Scott Jennings | 8.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
7.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Danielle Alvarez | 5.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
— | — | — |
| Maria Bartiromo | 2.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
5.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Nicki Minaj | 4.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
4.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
2028 Cycle
2028 GOP presidential field expands as Trump’s approval sags
PN Team • 3 weeks ago
The list of Republicans weighing 2028 presidential bids is growing as President Trump's approval ratings decline and Democrats appear favored for a strong showing in the November midterms. Sen. John Kennedy recently joined a field that already includes former Gov. Chris Christie, Sen. Rand Paul, Gov. Ron DeSantis, Sen. Ted Cruz, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and possibly Texas Gov. Greg Abbott. Some hopefuls are positioning themselves to inherit the MAGA base, including Donald Trump Jr., who denies interest but polls strongly among hypothetical candidates. Others, like Christie, are distancing themselves from Trump's legacy, arguing Vice President J.D. Vance would be hurt by association with an unpopular administration.
Polling shows Vance still leads the GOP field but has lost ground, with Trump Jr. gaining support. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. also draw notable backing, while Nikki Haley says she won't run. Cruz and Vance have publicly sparred, with most contenders waiting on midterm results before deciding.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is described as having declining approval ratings and being a political liability some are distancing from.
- Donald Trump Jr. Trump Jr. is shown gaining support in polls as a rising contender despite denying interest.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrats are noted as favored to perform well in the midterms, a mild positive signal.
- Marco Rubio Rubio is mentioned as drawing notable backing among potential candidates.
- Chris Christie Christie is portrayed as a strategic critic distancing himself from Trump, a neutral-to-slightly favorable positioning.
- JD Vance Vance leads the field but is losing ground and seen as vulnerable due to association with Trump.
- Rand Paul Paul is listed among the expanding GOP field, a neutral mention.
- Republican Party (United States) The GOP field is depicted as fractured and uncertain amid Trump's declining approval, a mildly unfavorable context.
- Ron DeSantis DeSantis is listed among potential 2028 candidates, a neutral mention.
- Ted Cruz Cruz is noted for publicly sparring with Vance, suggesting internal party conflict.
- Texas Texas is mentioned only as Abbott's state, a neutral factual reference.
- United States The United States is the general setting for the political narrative without specific reputational framing.
- United States Senate The Senate is referenced only as the chamber where several named politicians serve.
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Elections
Trump rallies South Carolina voters behind Darline Graham ahead of Senate runoff
PN Team • 2 months ago
President Donald Trump held a rally in Myrtle Beach urging South Carolina Republicans to back Sen. Darline Graham in Tuesday's runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman, the contest that will decide the GOP nominee for the U.S. Senate seat once held by her late brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham. Trump, not on the ballot this cycle, told supporters to "pretend" he was in order to boost turnout and reiterated his "complete and total endorsement" of Graham. Gov. Henry McMaster, who appointed Graham to the seat after her brother's death, formally endorsed her hours before the rally.
The race tightened after Graham stumbled in a debate when asked about Taiwan and the South China Sea, admitting she was "not that informed on national security." Trump defended her as being "honest." The debate moment fueled momentum for Norman, who picked up a notable endorsement from former Gov. Mark Sanford, who broke with Trump, citing the nation's fiscal challenges after the national debt hit $40 trillion. The runoff winner becomes the GOP nominee for the November general election in the reliably red state.
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is portrayed as actively campaigning and using his influence to boost a favored candidate, a positive display of political clout.
- Republican Party (United States) The article covers a GOP Senate runoff, a factual/neutral context for the party.
- South Carolina South Carolina is the neutral geographic setting for the political contest described.
- United States The United States is referenced only in general political and national debt context, without direct reputational implication.
- United States Congress Congress is referenced only as the body containing the Senate seat in question.
- United States House of Representatives Mentioned only to identify Ralph Norman's current position as a Representative.
- United States Senate The Senate seat is the central subject of the runoff race described factually.
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2028 Cycle
Maryland Gov. Wes Moore headlines Illinois Democrats’ fundraiser, fueling 2028 speculation
PN Team • 2 months ago
Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, seen as a potential 2028 presidential contender, headlined the Democratic Party of Illinois' annual fundraiser at Navy Pier in Chicago, criticizing President Donald Trump and Republicans while rallying Democrats ahead of the midterm elections. Moore accused Trump's administration of "lining their own pockets" on issues including the Iran conflict and economic policy.
Moore, introduced by Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker — who also has White House ambitions — recounted Pritzker's outreach after the 2024 collapse of Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge, then drew parallels between Maryland and Illinois's civil rights legacies to applause from more than 800 attendees. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, Sens. Dick Durbin and Tammy Duckworth, and Senate nominee Juliana Stratton also spoke, with Durbin criticizing Trump's spending priorities.
The event underscores early jockeying among Democratic governors positioning themselves for 2028 while shoring up party support in battleground-adjacent states ahead of the midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is directly accused of "lining their own pockets" and criticized by multiple Democrats over policy issues.
- Wes Moore Moore is portrayed favorably as a rising Democratic figure headlining a major event and rallying supporters.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans are criticized by Moore and Durbin over spending priorities and policy, casting them negatively.
- Democratic Party (United States) The Democratic Party is portrayed as rallying support and energizing attendees ahead of midterms.
- Dick Durbin Durbin is shown actively criticizing Trump's spending priorities, a modestly favorable partisan portrayal.
- Chicago Chicago is the event's host city, mentioned neutrally as the fundraiser location.
- Illinois Illinois is referenced as the site of the fundraiser and in civil rights legacy comparisons, largely neutral.
- Iran Iran is mentioned only as a policy issue criticized in the context of Trump's administration, a tangential reference.
- Juliana Stratton Stratton is mentioned as a Senate nominee speaking at the event, a neutral factual mention.
- Maryland Maryland is mentioned regarding Moore's governorship and civil rights legacy comparisons, largely neutral.
- Baltimore Baltimore is referenced regarding the Key Bridge collapse and Pritzker's outreach, a neutral factual mention.
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Elections
Ohio lawmakers weigh curbing next governor’s powers ahead of lame-duck session
PN Team • 3 weeks ago
With Ohio's gubernatorial election weeks away, state lawmakers from both parties are anticipating a contentious "lame duck" legislative session afterward, particularly if Democrat Amy Acton defeats Republican Vivek Ramaswamy. Recent polling shows Acton with a slight edge. Some Republican legislators, including Rep. Jennifer Gross and Rep. David Thomas, say they expect additional sessions to pass policy before a potential change in administration, while Democratic Sen. Bill DeMora predicts GOP efforts to strip powers from Acton specifically during the lame-duck period. House and Senate leadership offices say there are no official plans.
Political scientists note precedent for such moves, pointing to North Carolina Republicans limiting an incoming Democratic governor's authority in 2024 and Ohio's own 2006 lame-duck maneuvering against Governor-elect Ted Strickland. Analysts suggest gubernatorial appointment powers could be a target since such changes draw little public backlash. Any legislation would still require sitting Gov. Mike DeWine's signature before taking effect.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans are portrayed as potentially planning to strip gubernatorial power from an incoming opponent, a somewhat self-serving political maneuver.
- Amy Acton Acton is mentioned as a leading candidate with polling advantage, a largely neutral-to-slightly positive factual mention.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democratic Party is referenced via its members involved in the political power struggle, a neutral factual mention.
- Vivek Ramaswamy Ramaswamy is mentioned as trailing in polls, a neutral factual reference.
- Ohio Ohio is the factual setting of the political story without reputational framing.
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Politics
Trump’s remark that Iran could ‘take out’ Los Angeles or San Diego draws backlash
PN Team • 3 weeks ago
President Donald Trump, speaking at a rally in Grand Island, Nebraska, said higher gas prices from the Iran conflict were "a small price to pay for keeping the world safe," adding that Iran could "take out" Los Angeles or San Diego and calling it "a very small price to pay" that would be "over with very soon." The crowd cheered. The remark came roughly a month before the midterm elections.
California officials responded swiftly. Governor Gavin Newsom called the comment "dangerous -- if not treasonous," directed the State Threat Assessment Center to monitor for threats against California, and later escalated by calling Trump "mentally ill" and demanding invocation of the 25th Amendment. Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass told Trump to "keep LA out of your damn mouth," and gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra accused him of treating Californians' lives as "a punchline." San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria and other mayors, along with Rep. Derek Tran, condemned the remarks. The White House and allies countered that Trump's full remarks were being taken out of context, arguing he meant Iran could strike those cities only if it obtained nuclear weapons, not that the U.S. should allow such an attack.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's remark about Iran potentially striking U.S. cities as a 'small price to pay' drew widespread backlash and accusations of recklessness, severely harming his public image in this piece.
- Iran Iran is referenced as the potential threat actor capable of striking U.S. cities, a context implying danger.
- Xavier Becerra Becerra is quoted criticizing Trump for treating Californians' lives as a 'punchline,' casting him as a defender of constituents.
- Gavin Newsom Newsom is shown forcefully condemning Trump's remarks, positioning himself as a vocal critic, though his escalating rhetoric calling Trump 'mentally ill' is also somewhat inflammatory.
- Los Angeles Los Angeles is named as a potential target in Trump's remark, a neutral/tangential mention amid the controversy.
- San Diego San Diego is named as a potential target in Trump's remark, a neutral/tangential mention amid the controversy.
- California California is referenced as the location of officials responding to the threat, without direct reputational framing.
- Governor of California The Governor of California office is referenced via Newsom's response but is not itself characterized positively or negatively.
- Nebraska Nebraska is mentioned only as the state hosting the rally, a neutral factual detail.
- United States The United States is referenced generally in the context of the conflict and safety concerns without specific reputational framing.
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Elections
Texas Latino voters souring on Trump, but not fully embracing Democrats
PN Team • 1 week ago
Polling and interviews across Texas point to a significant erosion of Latino support for President Trump since his 2024 gains, driven by frustration over high prices, gas costs, and aggressive ICE enforcement that has rattled South Texas communities and economies. Strategists describe the shift as a rebuke of Republicans rather than genuine enthusiasm for Democrats, who still carry a damaged brand with many Latino voters. The trend could shape Texas's competitive U.S. Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, as well as newly redrawn majority-Hispanic congressional districts. Analysts expect Latino support for Democrats to partially rebound toward 2018 levels, but caution that voters remain persuadable and increasingly judge candidates individually rather than by party.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is portrayed as losing Latino support due to economic frustration and unpopular ICE enforcement policies.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans face erosion of Latino support due to high prices and aggressive ICE enforcement.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrats are described as having a damaged brand despite some gains in Latino support.
- South Texas South Texas communities and economies are described as rattled by aggressive ICE enforcement.
- James Talarico Talarico is mentioned neutrally as a Senate candidate benefiting from the political shift.
- Ken Paxton Paxton is mentioned as a Senate candidate facing a less favorable political environment among Latino voters.
- Texas Texas is the setting for shifting political dynamics without inherent reputational harm or benefit to the state itself.
- United States House of Representatives Newly redrawn majority-Hispanic congressional districts are mentioned factually in context of political shifts.
- United States Senate The competitive Texas Senate race is mentioned factually without favorable or unfavorable framing.
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Elections
Florida parties court Latino voters ahead of 2026 midterms
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
Florida's Latino voters, roughly a quarter of the state's electorate, are emerging as a key constituency heading into the 2026 midterms, after many shifted toward Republicans in 2024. Republican and Democratic strategists interviewed by News 6 disagree sharply on which issues will determine whether that shift holds.
Republicans, represented by RNC Hispanic communications director Jaime Florez, credit President Trump's economic record — citing lower inflation, prescription drug costs and job growth — for the party's gains. Democrats, through Puerto Rico Democratic Party chair Luis Dávila Pernas, counter that cost of living remains a burden and claim some Latino Trump voters now feel "buyer's remorse." Immigration enforcement is another flashpoint: the administration has reported more than 985,000 deportations and moved to end Temporary Protected Status for Venezuelans and Haitians, actions Republicans defend as lawful enforcement while Democrats argue they have alarmed immigrant communities amid aggressive ICE arrests. Both sides agree voters increasingly want results over partisan conflict as Florida heads toward November's vote.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's economic record is credited for Republican gains among Latino voters, though immigration enforcement under his administration draws criticism.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans are shown gaining ground among Latino voters due to economic performance, a positive political narrative.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrats are portrayed defensively, trying to counter Republican gains and citing voter dissatisfaction without strong evidence.
- Florida Florida is the factual setting for the political analysis of Latino voter trends ahead of the midterms.
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Elections
Iowa Senate Race: Farm Group Backs Turek, Criticizes Trump Rally Shakeups
PN Team • 6 hours ago
The Iowa Farmers Union endorsed Democrat Josh Turek over Republican Ashley Hinson in the race for Iowa's open Senate seat, with president Aaron Lehman citing damage from tariff policy and rising diesel, fertilizer and pesticide costs. Lehman also criticized the shifting schedule for a Trump rally supporting Hinson, which was reported off and then back on before planned Sunday appearances in Iowa and Kansas. Hinson has Trump's and the Iowa Farm Bureau's backing. The contest to replace retiring Senator Joni Ernst is rated a tossup, with multiple recent polls showing Turek and Hinson within a few points of each other heading into Election Day.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump His rally for Hinson was criticized for a disruptive on-again, off-again schedule.
- Ashley Hinson Criticized indirectly over a Trump rally schedule shake-up, though she retains Trump and Farm Bureau backing.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned only as the party affiliation of endorsed candidate Turek.
- Iowa Central setting of the Senate race, described neutrally.
- Kansas Mentioned only as another stop on Trump's planned rally schedule.
- Republican Party (United States) Named as Hinson's party affiliation without additional characterization.
- United States Senate The Senate seat race is the subject, described factually as a tossup contest.
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Elections
States press legal fight over Trump mail ballot order after Supreme Court sidesteps ruling
PN Team • 2 months ago
Wisconsin and other states are continuing legal challenges to a March executive order from President Trump that would create a national list of eligible voters and direct the U.S. Postal Service to mail ballots only to those on it. The U.S. Supreme Court declined to rule on the order's legality, instead ruling 6-3 that the states' lawsuit was filed prematurely. Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul called the decision "disappointing and frankly strange."
Wisconsin has since joined another multistate lawsuit targeting a Postal Service rule meant to implement the order, and a federal judge temporarily blocked enforcement of that rule. The White House said it intends to appeal. Election officials say no changes have yet taken effect for voters, though the ongoing litigation risks sowing confusion ahead of Wisconsin's scheduled September mailing of ballots. A further hearing in the case is set for September 3, with the broader dispute over federal mail-voting rules still unresolved.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's executive order is the target of ongoing multistate legal challenges and a federal judge's block, portraying his administration's action as legally contested and controversial.
- United States Postal Service The Postal Service is mentioned as the entity directed to implement a controversial ballot-mailing rule now blocked by a federal judge, casting it in a neutral-to-slightly negative operational light.
- Wisconsin Wisconsin is portrayed as an active participant defending election procedures through litigation, a neutral-to-mildly positive civic stance.
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Elections
Van Orden bets on Trump loyalty in Wisconsin swing-district rematch with Cooke
PN Team • 2 months ago
Republican Rep. Derrick Van Orden is running for reelection in Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District by embracing President Trump rather than distancing himself, betting that energizing the conservative base outweighs risks from Trump's sagging approval ratings, the Iran war, and economic worries. He faces a rematch with Democrat Rebecca Cooke, whom he beat by less than 3 points in 2022. The historically bellwether district, carried by both Obama and Trump in past elections, is a top Democratic pickup target this cycle.
Van Orden has voted with Trump nearly 100% of the time, hosted top administration officials in his district, and drawn Elon Musk-linked PAC spending on his behalf. Cooke, backed by both moderate and progressive Democrats including Bernie Sanders, argues Van Orden's close alignment with an unpopular president is a liability, while Van Orden has also faced criticism for AI-generated videos attacking Cooke. Both candidates are courting independents and frustrated voters as the race is seen as pivotal to control of the House.
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Portrayed with sagging approval ratings and as a political liability due to unpopularity, though Van Orden embraces him.
- Iran Referenced negatively via the 'Iran war' as a risk factor for Van Orden's reelection.
- Barack Obama Noted as having carried the district previously, a neutral historical fact.
- Elon Musk Mentioned as linked to PAC spending, slightly polarizing but not strongly negative or positive.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned as the party of Cooke's backers with no strong positive or negative framing.
- Republican Party (United States) Referenced as Van Orden's party without specific reputational framing.
- United States General national context for the congressional race, no specific reputational charge.
- United States Congress Mentioned as the body whose control is at stake, purely contextual.
- United States House of Representatives Referenced as the chamber Van Orden serves in, factual mention.
- Wisconsin Setting for the swing-district race, described neutrally as a bellwether state.
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When Will Trump Name His Next Press Secretary
Leading:
87%
Before Mar 1, 2027
Vol $636.47
Trump Administration Departures in 2026
Leading:
99.9%
White House Press Secretary
Vol $782.4k