Who Will Win South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District House Seat
South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, covering the Lowcountry and Charleston suburbs, is holding a House election in 2026. The district has swung between parties in recent cycles, making it one of the more competitive seats in the state. Candidates from both major parties are expected to compete for the seat as part of the broader battle for House control.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of narrowly divided congressional districts like SC-01 can shape the overall balance of power in the House. A competitive result here reflects broader shifts in suburban and coastal voter sentiment in South Carolina. The outcome will influence not just local representation but also national legislative dynamics heading into the next Congress.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The core question is simple: which party, or specific candidate, ultimately wins the SC-01 seat. Traders are effectively weighing district-level partisan trends against candidate-specific strengths and campaign dynamics. Separate contracts tied to individual names allow for more granular views on primary outcomes ahead of the general election, isolating candidate viability from party-level shifts.
Related terms
Total Volume
$296.9k
Kalshi $258.3k · Polymarket $38.6k
Leading Market
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
Kalshi 53% · Polymarket 56%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt Volume
$93.9k
Kalshi $84.5k · Polymarket $9.3k
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 24h Change
-4.00%
Kalshi -3.00% · Polymarket -4.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenny Costa HoneycuttRepublican Party | 54.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Jenny Costa Honeycutt on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 56.0¢ | 5% | , trade Jenny Costa Honeycutt on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Nancy LacoreDemocratic Party | — | — | — | 48.0¢ | 5% | , trade Nancy Lacore on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Nancy S. LacoreDemocratic Party | 47.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Nancy S. Lacore on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jenny Costa HoneycuttRepublican Party | $93,867.00 | ||
| Nancy LacoreDemocratic Party | $29,306.30 | No market | |
| Nancy S. LacoreDemocratic Party | $173,734.93 | No market |