New Hampshire 2026: Governor and Senate Race Combination Outcomes
New Hampshire voters head to the polls in November 2026 to elect both a governor and a U.S. senator in the same cycle. The governor’s race follows Kris Kobach-style open contests seen in other states, while the Senate seat is up amid broader battles for chamber control. This market asks which party will win each office, and whether one party sweeps both or the results split.
Why Markets Are Watching
New Hampshire is a perennial swing state where statewide races often diverge from national partisan trends. A split outcome would reinforce the state’s reputation for ticket-splitting, while a clean sweep by either party would signal stronger coattails and shifting regional alignment. The results will shape the balance of power in the Senate and set the tone for New Hampshire’s executive leadership.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Outcome
This contract isolates a compound question: not just who wins each race individually, but whether the two outcomes align. Traders are effectively weighing correlation between the governor and Senate contests—whether local dynamics and candidate quality diverge from statewide partisan lean. It reduces two separate elections into a single combined proposition, capturing how tightly linked or independent New Hampshire’s down-ballot outcomes are likely to be.
Related terms
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Democratic Party (United States) -
Republican Party (United States) -
United States Senate -
Swing state -
New Hampshire -
New Hampshire Senate -
Governor of New Hampshire
Total Volume
$211.9k
Kalshi $72k · Polymarket $139.9k
Leading Market
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win
Kalshi 88%
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win Volume
$22.8k
Kalshi $22.8k
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win 24h Change
-2.00%
Kalshi -2.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win | 88.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate | — | — | — | 88.0¢ | 5% | , trade Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win | 9.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Reps sweep | — | — | — | 9.0¢ | 5% | , trade Reps sweep on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Democrats sweepCinde Warmington and Chris Pappas win | 5.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Democrats sweep on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win | $22,822.73 | No market | |
| Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate | $22,960.88 | No market | |
| Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win | $15,057.08 | No market | |
| Reps sweep | $55,318.28 | No market | |
| Democrats sweepCinde Warmington and Chris Pappas win | $16,828.14 | No market |