Maine 2026: Governor and Senate Party Combination
Maine voters head to the polls in November 2026 to elect both a governor and a U.S. senator in the same cycle, a rare overlap that puts the state’s full political leadership up for grabs at once. Governor Janet Mills is term-limited, opening the seat, while Senator Susan Collins’s seat is also on the ballot. The combined outcome will shape whether Maine ends up with unified or split partisan control of its top offices.
Why Markets Are Watching
Maine has a long history of ticket-splitting, often backing different parties for governor and senator, making this race a test of whether that pattern holds. The results will influence the Senate’s overall partisan balance and set the tone for state policy direction heading into the next legislative term. Both national parties view Maine as a swing state worth significant resources.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Outcome
This contract isolates a compound question: not just who wins each race individually, but which combination of outcomes occurs together. Traders are effectively weighing correlated versus split results—whether Democrats or Republicans sweep both seats, or whether Maine’s ticket-splitting tendency produces a divided outcome. That structure captures how two separate contests interact rather than treating them as independent events.
Related terms
-
Democratic Party (United States) -
Republican Party (United States) -
United States Senate -
Governor (United States) -
Swing state -
Maine -
Susan Collins -
Janet Mills -
Hannah Pingree
Total Volume
$183.5k
Kalshi $62.2k · Polymarket $121.2k
Leading Market
Dems sweep
Polymarket 68%
Dems sweep Volume
$27.4k
Polymarket $27.4k
Dems sweep 24h Change
+6.00%
Polymarket +6.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dems sweep | — | — | — | 68.0¢ | 5% | , trade Dems sweep on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Democrats sweepHannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win | 68.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Democrats sweep on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win | 32.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate | — | — | — | 29.0¢ | 5% | , trade Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Reps sweep | — | — | — | 3.0¢ | 5% | , trade Reps sweep on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dems sweep | $27,415.20 | No market | |
| Democrats sweepHannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win | $25,663.44 | No market | |
| Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win | $21,682.51 | No market | |
| Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate | $37,916.01 | No market | |
| Reps sweep | $42,199.01 | No market |