Wyoming Senate Election: Total Voter Turnout
Wyoming voters head to the polls on November 3, 2026, to decide the state’s U.S. Senate race. Beyond who wins, a key question is how many Wyomingites actually cast ballots. Turnout in the sparsely populated state can swing significantly based on the competitiveness of the race and national midterm dynamics.
Why Markets Are Watching
Turnout shapes the legitimacy and narrative of any election outcome, especially in a low-population state where every vote carries outsized statistical weight. Low turnout could suggest voter apathy or satisfaction with the status quo, while a surge might signal heightened political engagement tied to national issues. Wyoming’s results often serve as an early data point for broader midterm turnout trends.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Turnout Question
These markets reduce a complex civic behavior into a single measurable threshold: will total votes cast exceed specific numeric benchmarks. Traders are effectively weighing historical turnout patterns against factors like ballot competitiveness and voter enthusiasm this cycle. Each threshold captures a different slice of possible turnout scenarios, letting participants express views on whether 2026 looks more like a high-engagement or low-engagement cycle for the state.
Related terms
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United States Senate -
Voter turnout -
United States midterm election -
Wyoming -
Ballot
Total Volume
$7k
Kalshi $4.6k · Polymarket $2.4k
Leading Market
Above 150K
Polymarket 95%
Above 150K Volume
$0.10
Polymarket $0.10
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 150K | — | — | — | 99.0¢ | 5% | , trade Above 150K on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Above 170K | 97.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Above 170K on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 98.0¢ | 5% | , trade Above 170K on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Above 190K | 85.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Above 190K on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 75.0¢ | 5% | , trade Above 190K on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Above 180K | 95.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Above 180K on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Above 200K | 59.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Above 200K on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 150K | $0.10 | No market | |
| Above 170K | $799.71 | ||
| Above 190K | $698.31 | ||
| Above 180K | $240.00 | No market | |
| Above 200K | $448.91 | No market |