Wyoming Governor winner?
Related terms
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Governor (United States) -
State governments of the United States -
Wyoming -
Elections in the United States -
Wyoming Republican Party
Total Volume
$33k
Kalshi $10.5k · Polymarket $22.5k
Leading Market
Eric Barlow
Kalshi 98% · Polymarket 99%
Eric Barlow Volume
$18.8k
Kalshi $2.7k · Polymarket $16.1k
Eric Barlow 24h Change
-1.00%
Kalshi -0.10% · Polymarket -1.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric BarlowRepublican Party | 97.9¢ | 7.0% |
|
99.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Kenneth CasnerDemocratic Party | 1.7¢ | 7.0% |
|
— | — | — |
| Kenneth R. CasnerDemocratic Party | — | — | — | 2.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
Elections
Trump-Backed Candidate Loses Wyoming GOP Governor Primary
PN Team • 2 months ago
State Sen. Eric Barlow won Wyoming's Republican gubernatorial primary, defeating President Trump's endorsed candidate, state Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder, along with retired Marine Col. Brent Bien and rodeo producer Curt Blake. Barlow, a rancher, veterinarian, and former Wyoming House speaker, prevailed despite attacks from the party's right flank labeling him too moderate and despite Degenfelder having nearly matched his campaign fundraising. Degenfelder had Trump's backing as well as support from Rep. Harriet Hageman, who separately won Wyoming's U.S. Senate primary the same night.
Barlow will face Democrat Kenneth Casner and Constitution Party candidate Rebecca Bextel in November, but is heavily favored in a state where Republicans outnumber Democrats roughly 7-to-1 and no Democrat has won the governorship since 2006. The race is one of several open contests in Wyoming this cycle, following term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's departure and Sen. Cynthia Lummis' decision not to seek reelection, creating simultaneous open races for governor, Senate, and the state's House seat for the first time in over three decades.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's endorsed candidate lost, reflecting a setback to his political influence in the race.
- Wyoming Republican Party Depicted as internally divided, with its right flank attacking the eventual winner as too moderate.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned only factually as the party of Barlow's general election opponent and as a minority party in Wyoming.
- Republican Party (United States) Referenced as the party holding the primary, with dominant political power in Wyoming, a neutral factual mention.
- United States Marine Corps Mentioned only as the retired military branch of a losing candidate, a neutral factual detail.
- United States Senate Referenced neutrally as the office contested in a separate primary won by Hageman.
- Wyoming Wyoming is the neutral setting for the primary election described in factual detail.
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Elections
Wyoming’s Republican governor criticizes DOJ election monitors as “aggressive”
PN Team • 2 months ago
Wyoming Gov. Mark Gordon, a Republican, said this week he has asked the state attorney general to look into the conduct of Justice Department election observers who monitored the state's primaries last week, calling their behavior "aggressive" and "irregular." Gordon said state and local officials were not notified in advance of the DOJ's plans and that the observers' conduct appeared to exceed the authority Congress had granted them, though he stressed he saw no evidence anything went wrong with the election itself.
Laramie County Clerk Debra Lee, also a Republican, said the monitors requested training guides, asked about equipment procurement, sought to examine tabulators, and tried to interview voters — requests she denied as outside the scope of federal voting rights law. The DOJ deployed more than 80 monitors across seven states during this year's primaries, part of a broader plan to send up to 1,000 monitors during the midterms, a move that has drawn criticism from Democrats and voting rights advocates amid the administration's continued unfounded election fraud claims.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Wyoming Wyoming and its governor are depicted as proactively defending election integrity and state authority, a mildly favorable portrayal.
- Republican Party (United States) Republican officials (Gordon, Lee) are shown pushing back on DOJ conduct, a neutral to mildly favorable depiction of party actors as defenders of state authority.
- United States Congress Congress is referenced only as the source of authority allegedly exceeded, a factual tangential mention.
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Elections
Wyoming governor questions DOJ’s “aggressive” primary election monitoring
PN Team • 2 months ago
Wyoming Gov. Mark Gordon (R) raised concerns at a State Canvassing Board meeting about the Justice Department's conduct while monitoring the state's Aug. 18 primary, calling the observers' behavior "a bit aggressive" and "irregular" and saying it exceeded the authority Congress gave them. Attorney General Keith Kautz, a gubernatorial appointee, is conducting a fact-finding investigation into the two DOJ Civil Rights Division attorneys deployed to Laramie County; Gordon said he is not alleging any outcome-altering effect or objecting to observers generally, only their conduct.
Secretary of State Chuck Gray said his office only received an email about the deployment, and defended the monitoring as consistent with state law. Laramie County Clerk Debra Lee said monitors lacked initial credentials, asked questions beyond federal voting-law scope, requested poll worker training materials and tabulator access, and unsuccessfully tried to interview voters, calling it "a poorly managed exercise." U.S. Attorney Darin Smith said monitors were sent to ensure transparency, ballot security, and compliance with federal voting rights statutes. The DOJ deployed more than 80 monitors to over 200 sites across seven states this primary season, with plans to send roughly 1,000 monitors nationwide for November's midterms, drawing scrutiny over federal overreach.
Sources:
Sentiment
- United States Department of Justice Civil Rights Division The DOJ Civil Rights Division's attorneys are the specific subjects of complaints about overreach and improper conduct during the primary monitoring.
- Chuck Gray (Wyoming politician) Chuck Gray defends the monitoring as consistent with state law, a neutral-to-mild factual mention.
- United States Congress Congress is referenced as the body whose granted authority was allegedly exceeded, a mild tangential mention.
- Wyoming Wyoming and its governor are portrayed as reasonably raising concerns about federal overreach, a mild neutral-to-favorable framing.
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Elections
Wyoming Secretary of State Chuck Gray wins GOP primary for at-large House seat
PN Team • 2 months ago
Wyoming Secretary of State Chuck Gray has won the Republican primary for the state's open at-large House seat, positioning him as the heavy favorite in the solidly Republican district. He is set to succeed Rep. Harriet Hageman, who is running for the U.S. Senate this cycle.
Gray, who has promoted false claims of widespread fraud in the 2020 election and traveled to Arizona in 2021 to observe a partisan audit of that state's results, previously ran against then-Rep. Liz Cheney before dropping out once President Trump endorsed Hageman. Gray won his secretary of state primary in 2022 with Trump's backing. Former state Senate Minority Leader Lisa Kinney is projected to win the Democratic nomination for the seat. The general election matchup sets up a heavily lopsided contest given Wyoming's Republican lean, making Gray's primary win the effective deciding moment in the race.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Chuck Gray (Wyoming politician) Gray wins his primary, a favorable political outcome, but the piece also notes his promotion of false 2020 election fraud claims, which carries reputational harm.
- Republican Party (United States) The Republican Party is mentioned as the dominant party in a solidly red district, a neutral factual reference.
- United States Senate The U.S. Senate is mentioned only as the office Hageman is seeking, a tangential factual reference.
- Wyoming Wyoming is referenced factually as the state and district context without positive or negative framing.
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Elections
GOP-linked super PAC ramps up spending to boost independent Levy in Ohio Senate race
PN Team • 1 week ago
A super PAC with ties to Republican vendors, Enough Promises Ohio, has expanded its spending to roughly $1.8 million supporting independent candidate Greg Levy and attacking Democrat Sherrod Brown in Ohio's U.S. Senate special election. Federal filings show about $753,000 for media through Outbound Messaging LLC and $1.04 million for mailers via Seven Farms, a vendor linked to operatives who previously worked on Bernie Moreno's 2024 campaign against Brown. Levy's campaign has disavowed the mailers and condemned them as voter deception. A separate GOP-aligned PAC, Sentinel Action Fund, spent over $280,000 backing Republican Jon Husted. Analysts say boosting a minor candidate can siphon votes in a tight race ahead of the Nov. 3 election to fill J.D. Vance's former seat.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Sherrod Brown Brown is the target of a well-funded attack campaign designed to siphon votes against him.
- Republican Party (United States) Republican-linked vendors and PACs are depicted running deceptive campaign tactics to help a GOP candidate.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrat Sherrod Brown is the target of attack ads from a GOP-linked PAC, a tangential negative association for the party.
- Ohio Ohio is the location of the Senate race described factually.
- United States Senate Referenced neutrally as the body whose seat is being contested.
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Elections
Teton County Sheriff Candidate Placed on Administrative Leave Before Election
PN Team • 4 days ago
Eric Snow, a Teton County, Wyoming sheriff's deputy running as the Republican challenger to incumbent Democrat Sheriff Matt Carr, was placed on administrative leave 13 days before the election. The move followed scrutiny over a traffic stop in which Snow allegedly did not conduct a full DUI investigation despite a high breathalyzer reading, and a separate recently dismissed DUI arrest that had been referred to, then declined by, the FBI. Carr was reportedly recused from the leave decision due to the election. Snow's attorney called the action unfair and improper, while some Republicans have questioned its timing. The Wyoming Highway Patrol is conducting a non-criminal personnel review.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Wyoming Referenced as the state context and site of a non-criminal personnel review.
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Elections
Grant and Malinoski set for third consecutive matchup in Michigan’s 82nd House District
PN Team • 4 weeks ago
State Rep. Kristian Grant, a Grand Rapids Democrat, will again face Republican challenger Ryan Malinoski in the Nov. 3 general election for Michigan's 82nd House District, marking their third consecutive matchup. The district, covering Grand Rapids' southeast side, part of downtown, and a portion of Wyoming, leans strongly Democratic. Grant defeated Malinoski decisively in both 2022 and 2024, each time capturing roughly three-quarters of the vote.
Grant, a real estate developer and former Grand Rapids school board trustee, responded to a League of Women Voters/MLive Vote411 voter guide outlining positions on education funding, living wages, energy affordability, and due-process protections for all residents, including noncitizens. Malinoski, an Aramark event services manager and Kent County GOP secretary, did not participate in the questionnaire. Given the district's historical voting patterns and Grant's wide margins in prior elections, the race is considered low-competitiveness heading into November.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) The Democratic Party is referenced as Grant's affiliation in a district that favors it, a mild positive but mostly factual mention.
- Republican Party (United States) The Republican Party is mentioned mainly to note its candidate lost decisively twice and skipped the voter questionnaire.
- Michigan Michigan is referenced factually as the state where the district is located.
- Wyoming Wyoming is mentioned factually as part of the district's geographic coverage.
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Elections
Texas Investigates Fake Transgender Resource Mailers Sent to Families
PN Team • 5 days ago
Texas households received mailers this month branded as a "Texas Trans & LGBTQ+ Student Resource Guide," arriving as early voting began. The materials pointed minors toward hormones, out-of-state medical transition, and legal emancipation from parents. The Transgender Education Network of Texas (TENT), whose branding appeared throughout, denies producing or approving the pamphlet. Investigators traced it to a Wyoming-registered shell company with a nonexistent return address, prompting a forgery investigation by a local district attorney. No sender has been identified, and TENT is seeking to depose the vendors involved.
While the mailer's origin remains unconfirmed, its content echoes real debates over parental rights, gender-identity policy in schools, and state laws like Texas's bans on youth medical transition and school gender clubs.
Sources:
Sentiment
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Colorado woman sentenced to 11 years for role in multistate meth and fentanyl ring
PN Team • 1 month ago
A federal judge in Wyoming has sentenced Nicole Rae Phipps, 42, of Colorado, to 133 months in federal prison followed by five years of supervised release for her role as a distributor in a multistate drug trafficking operation. Phipps pleaded guilty in May to possession with intent to distribute 500 grams or more of methamphetamine.
Investigators with the Wyoming Division of Criminal Investigation, DEA and Homeland Security Investigations began tracking Phipps and co-defendant Denny Jason Shrove in August 2025, uncovering weekly supply runs between Colorado and Wyoming to obtain methamphetamine and fentanyl. Wiretaps identified at least five smuggling trips in October 2025 alone, and authorities estimate Phipps was responsible for trafficking between 22 and 44 pounds of methamphetamine. A federal complaint filed in January named Phipps and six co-defendants, with dozens more facing state charges.
U.S. Attorney Darin Smith said the case reflects an aggressive push by federal, state, and local agencies to dismantle regional drug distribution networks operating across the two states.
Sources:
Sentiment
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In the News
Wyoming Borough man arraigned after spitting on Luzerne County sheriff
PN Team • 2 months ago
A 30-year-old Wyoming Borough, Pennsylvania man has been arraigned on assault and disorderly conduct charges after allegedly spitting on a Luzerne County sheriff and making a lewd remark to a court staff member.
The incident occurred Aug. 25 at the Luzerne County Office of Court Administration, after the man had failed to appear on time for a probation revocation hearing, prompting a bench warrant. Court records describe him launching into a tirade with sexual and racial epithets directed at the sheriff and a deputy sheriff sergeant before spitting on the sheriff's leg. He was arraigned on a misdemeanor simple assault charge along with summary harassment and disorderly conduct counts, and remains jailed on $50,000 bail.
His probation revocation stems from an April 2024 conviction tied to a domestic dispute and property damage. The revocation hearing, originally set for this week, was pushed to Oct. 16 after he refused to appear via video from his cell.
Sources:
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