UT-02 House winner?
Related terms
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Democratic Party (United States) -
Republican Party (United States) -
Redistricting -
Electoral district -
Utah -
Salt Lake City -
St. George, Utah -
Blake Moore
Total Volume
$66.5k
Kalshi $18.2k · Polymarket $48.4k
Leading Market
Blake D. Moore
Polymarket 96%
Blake D. Moore Volume
$33k
Polymarket $33k
Blake D. Moore 24h Change
-7.00%
Polymarket -7.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake D. MooreRepublican Party | — | — | — | 96.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Blake MooreRepublican Party | 95.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
— | — | — |
| Peter CrosbyDemocratic Party | 6.5¢ | 7.0% |
|
5.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
Elections
Utah’s final congressional debate pits Rep. Blake Moore against Peter Crosby in District 2
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
Utah's last congressional debate of the cycle took place Tuesday evening in Logan, hosted by the Utah Debate Commission at Utah State University, featuring District 2 candidates Rep. Blake Moore (R) and Peter Crosby (D).
Moore has represented Utah's 1st Congressional District since 2021 but is running in the newly redrawn District 2 following statewide boundary changes. He defeated primary challenger Karianne Lisonbee, a state representative who qualified for the ballot through delegate support at the Utah Republican Convention. Moore previously co-chaired the 2018 Better Boundaries campaign behind Proposition 4, Utah's anti-gerrymandering law, and this year opposed efforts to repeal it via ballot initiative, instead urging a public vote.
Crosby, a northern Utah native and adjunct professor at Utah State University's Center for Anticipatory Intelligence, secured the Democratic nomination at his party's April convention. He previously held leadership roles in a Fortune 500 company after starting his career in customer service.
The debate marked the final event in Utah's series of congressional matchups ahead of the election.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Blake Moore Moore is portrayed as an experienced incumbent with a record on anti-gerrymandering reform, a favorable framing.
- Republican Party (United States) Moore's party affiliation is mentioned neutrally without reflecting on the party itself.
- Utah Utah is the neutral setting for the statewide redistricting and debate.
- United States House of Representatives The congressional debate pertains to a seat in the US House, mentioned factually.
- Utah's 1st congressional district Utah's 1st district is mentioned factually as Moore's previous district.
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Elections
Third-Party Candidates Run Long-Shot Bids Across Utah’s House Races
PN Team • 12 hours ago
Third-party and unaffiliated candidates appear in all four of Utah's congressional districts this fall, though none qualified for official debates and none poll in double digits. Figures like unaffiliated candidates Robert Moesinger and Steven Burt, Libertarian Taylor Wright, Independent American Carlton Bowen and Constitution Party nominee Cassie Easley say they aren't running to win but to challenge the two-party system, push reforms like ranked-choice voting and multi-member districts, and engage disaffected young voters.
Historically, Utah's third-party candidates have drawn minimal support, averaging roughly 2% since 1914, with Evan McMullin a notable exception. Rising unaffiliated voter registration suggests some appetite for alternatives, but it remains unclear whether that will translate into votes for non-major-party candidates this cycle.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Referenced only as part of the two-party system candidates are challenging.
- Independent politician Described factually as a category multiple candidates belong to.
- Republican Party (United States) Referenced only as part of the two-party system candidates are challenging.
- Utah Setting of the story, described factually with no reputational framing.
- United States House of Representatives Context for the congressional races but not evaluated itself.
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Elections
Utah Rep. Mike Kennedy weighs in on Trump deportations and Utah-DOJ voter data dispute
PN Team • 4 weeks ago
Utah GOP Rep. Mike Kennedy, in an interview with the Deseret News, called Trump's second term historic but gave mixed marks on specific policies. He credited the administration with sharply reducing border crossings but said the effects of mass deportations have been "good and bad," backing removal of convicted criminals while urging case-by-case review for others.
On election security, Kennedy echoed concerns about noncitizen voting ahead of the midterms, citing a New Jersey registration error that added thousands of noncitizens to voter rolls. He supported the SAVE Act, which would require proof of citizenship to vote in federal elections, though it has stalled in the Senate.
Kennedy also sided with Utah Lt. Gov. Deidre Henderson in her standoff with the Department of Justice, which sued Utah after Henderson declined to turn over voters' Social Security numbers and birth dates. Kennedy said he wants voter records kept confidential and expects the dispute to be resolved in court. The remarks came after Kennedy hosted a meeting of top Utah officials on energy, water, and data center policy.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's second term is called historic with mixed marks, reflecting balanced coverage of both achievements and criticism.
- Utah Utah is depicted as standing firm on voter privacy, a neutral-to-mildly favorable portrayal of state officials' resolve.
- Republican Party (United States) Kennedy is identified as a Utah GOP representative, a neutral factual mention of party affiliation.
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Politics
Cox Says Biden Considered Pardoning Trump in 2023
PN Team • 2 months ago
Utah Gov. Spencer Cox writes in his forthcoming book, "Off Ramp: How to Be a Peacemaker in an Age of Contempt," that he urged President Joe Biden to pardon Donald Trump during a 2023 limousine ride in Salt Lake City. According to Cox, Biden said he had already given the idea serious thought, telling him he and Jill Biden had discussed it at length. The Atlantic published an excerpt of the book, set for release Sept. 8 by Penguin Press.
At the time, Trump faced federal indictments over his handling of classified documents and efforts to overturn the 2020 election, along with separate state charges in Georgia and New York. A federal pardon would not have affected the state cases. Biden never acted on the idea; special counsel Jack Smith dropped the federal cases in November 2024 after Trump's election win. Biden did issue preemptive pardons to family members and several officials in his final hours in office. Cox, known for his "Disagree Better" initiative, framed the episode as a missed opportunity to defuse partisan tensions.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump is discussed mainly in context of facing federal and state indictments, though the pardon consideration is a mild positive counterpoint.
- Utah Utah is mentioned as Cox's state and the setting, reflecting neutrally to mildly positively on the state via its governor's peacemaking narrative.
- Salt Lake City Mentioned only as the location of the limousine conversation, a neutral factual detail.
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Elections
Utah postal worker indicted after allegedly discarding mail-in ballots during state primary
PN Team • 1 month ago
The Justice Department has charged a Utah postal worker with discarding more than 300 mail-in ballots ahead of the state's June primary. Damon Matai Seei, 34, of Payson, was indicted by a federal grand jury on Sept. 16 on charges of unlawful secretion, destruction and delay of mail; the indictment was unsealed and Seei was arrested and arraigned in federal court in Salt Lake City, pleading not guilty. His next court appearance is scheduled for Nov. 30. Officials said Seei, a letter carrier in Eagle Mountain, dumped the ballots along with other mail into a dumpster at a church parking lot shortly after starting his shift on June 3, and never delivered them. Prosecutors said Seei admitted he threw away the mail to "lighten his workload," and officials declined to say whether the conduct was politically motivated.
The case comes amid heightened national scrutiny of mail-in voting security ahead of the 2026 midterms. Most Utah voters cast ballots by mail, and nearly a third of voters nationwide use the method. The DOJ says it is expanding election-monitoring efforts and pursuing thousands of election-related investigations nationwide.
Sources:
Sentiment
- United States Postal Service A USPS employee's alleged misconduct in discarding ballots reflects negatively on the postal service's reliability.
- Utah Utah is tied to the ballot-discarding incident and its reliance on mail-in voting, casting a slight shadow on the state's election process.
- United States The case is framed within national concerns about mail-in voting security, a mildly negative context for the country's election integrity.
- Salt Lake City Salt Lake City is mentioned only as the location of the federal court proceedings, a neutral factual detail.
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Education
Utah touts education funding gains and school choice growth ahead of new year
PN Team • 2 months ago
Utah is highlighting its public education system as more than 572,000 students return to school districts statewide, along with about 85,000 attending public charter schools. State Rep. Candice Pierucci, who chaired the House Education Committee, pointed to five years of funding growth, with state support for public education rising $1.8 billion, or more than 44%, and now accounting for nearly half of Utah's state budget.
Teacher pay has also risen, with a $6,000 salary increase giving Utah the fourth-highest average starting teacher salary in the nation. Teachers now get 32 hours of paid planning time and up to $500 for classroom supplies. The Utah Fits All Scholarship program, which expands school choice options for families, has issued awards to more than 18,700 students for the coming year, with 8,800 more on a waitlist. Officials say priorities ahead include early literacy initiatives, screen-time guardrails, and preparing students to use AI responsibly.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Utah Utah is portrayed favorably for boosting education funding, teacher pay, and school choice options.
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Utah Couple Sentenced for Helping ICE Detainee Escape Custody
PN Team • 4 days ago
Kelzie Ryann Luna, 21, and George Sanchez-Juarez, 22, of Salt Lake City pleaded guilty to theft, disposal, and conversion of government property and aiding and abetting, after helping a handcuffed man escape ICE custody during a 2025 enforcement action at a Salt Lake City Home Depot. Federal agents had detained four previously deported immigrants when one escaped a vehicle and fled on foot; the couple allegedly drove him away, bought bolt cutters to remove his handcuffs, and later bragged about the escape. Each was sentenced to four days in prison, a $600 fine, restitution, and six months of supervised release.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Salt Lake City Named as the site of the crime, enforcement action, and courthouse proceedings.
- Utah Setting of the crime and sentencing, a tangential factual mention.
- Law enforcement Referenced via ICE enforcement action that was undermined by the couple's actions.
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Local & State
Utah leaders mark 25th anniversary of September 11 attacks
PN Team • 2 months ago
Utah officials and public safety agencies issued tributes marking 25 years since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks that killed nearly 3,000 people. Governor Spencer Cox noted that more than 100 million Americans are now too young to remember that day, emphasizing that "never forget" means telling the story and honoring the unity that followed the tragedy. The Utah Senate, Senate President J. Stuart Adams, and Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall echoed calls to remember victims and first responders while carrying forward the sense of national unity that emerged afterward. Mendenhall encouraged residents to mark the day through community volunteering.
Law enforcement and fire agencies across the state, including the Cache County, Summit County, and Utah County Sheriff's Offices and the Ogden Police Department, honored the first responders who died and those who continue to carry the day's impact. The Washington City Fire Department held its annual memorial stair climb in St. George, commemorating the 343 firefighters and 60 officers killed, describing it as a tribute to their courage and sacrifice.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Salt Lake City Salt Lake City's mayor is highlighted encouraging community volunteering to mark the anniversary, a favorable civic action.
- Utah Utah as a whole is portrayed positively through its officials and agencies honoring 9/11 victims and unity.
- Ogden, Utah Ogden Police Department is cited for honoring fallen first responders, reflecting positively on the city.
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Utah Couple Stranded in Eastern Europe Seeks Help After Visa Denial
PN Team • 2 days ago
Valentin Sergeif, a U.S. citizen from Utah, and his wife Anastasia, a Belarusian national, say they have been stranded abroad for three years while pursuing a spousal visa, caught between a federal immigration freeze and border restrictions tied to sanctions on Belarus. After an initial U.S. embassy meeting in Poland deemed their case solid but on hold, a follow-up visit in October resulted in a swift denial by a different caseworker, who the couple says dismissed their sponsor's affidavit and Anastasia's professional credentials. With Anastasia's Polish visa set to expire soon, the couple is appealing for public and congressional support, including a possible constituent inquiry, to secure a supervisory review before they risk being forced back into Belarus.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Utah Home state of the stranded U.S. citizen, mentioned factually without reputational implication.
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Baseball
Salt Lake City seen as frontrunner in MLB expansion race
PN Team • 2 months ago
Salt Lake City has emerged as a leading candidate for Major League Baseball expansion, according to ESPN reporting that examined six potential cities: Salt Lake City, Nashville, Raleigh, Portland, Orlando, and Montreal. MLB insider Jeff Passan said Salt Lake City currently has the "most compelling case" among the group, citing an identified ownership group, secured funding, and an already-developing stadium site.
Utah Governor Spencer Cox and Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall both touted the city's readiness, pointing to bipartisan cooperation and the success of the NHL's Utah Mammoth as evidence of local sports enthusiasm. The proposed ballpark would anchor the Power District, a large mixed-use development on the city's west side backed by billions in private investment, with a 2024 state law authorizing up to $900 million in public financing toward stadium costs. Some residents raised concerns about traffic and parking. MLB has not formally opened an expansion process, which is expected to follow the next collective bargaining agreement, and no city is guaranteed a franchise.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Salt Lake City Salt Lake City is portrayed as the frontrunner with strong ownership, funding, and stadium plans, a clearly favorable depiction.
- Utah Utah is highlighted positively through its governor's support and state financing legislation aiding the expansion bid.
- Nashville, Tennessee Nashville is listed as one of six candidate cities without further detail.
- Orlando, Florida Orlando is listed as one of six candidate cities without further detail.
- Portland, Oregon Portland is listed as one of six candidate cities without further detail.
- Raleigh, North Carolina Raleigh is listed as one of six candidate cities without further detail.
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