Utah’s 1st Congressional District House Race Winner
Utah’s 1st Congressional District, covering the northern part of the state including Ogden and parts of the Wasatch Front, will elect a member to the U.S. House of Representatives. The district has been a reliable Republican stronghold in recent cycles, but every House seat contributes to the chamber’s overall balance of power. Candidates from both major parties, along with potential third-party contenders, are vying for the seat.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the U.S. House hinges on the cumulative outcome of races like this one, shaping the legislative agenda for the next two years. A Republican-leaning district holding firm or shifting would signal broader voter sentiment heading into a closely watched midterm cycle. The result also affects representation on issues important to Utah constituents, from land use to federal spending.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The market distills this race into a single question: which party, or which named candidate, ultimately wins the seat. It isolates the partisan outcome from broader national trends, letting traders express a view specifically on this district’s dynamics. Given the seat’s historical lean, the contract also captures how much uncertainty exists around an upset or a competitive shift within a traditionally safe district.
Related terms
Total Volume
$73.2k
Kalshi $13.6k · Polymarket $59.6k
Leading Market
Ben McAdams
Kalshi 99% · Polymarket 99%
Ben McAdams Volume
$36.7k
Kalshi $7.9k · Polymarket $28.8k
Ben McAdams 24h Change
-2.60%
Kalshi -2.60% · Polymarket 0.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McAdamsDemocratic Party | 98.7¢ | 7.0% | , trade Ben McAdams on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 99.0¢ | 5% | , trade Ben McAdams on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Bennet C. RileyRepublican Party | 3.3¢ | 7.0% | , trade Bennet C. Riley on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 4.0¢ | 5% | , trade Bennet C. Riley on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McAdamsDemocratic Party | $36,695.00 | ||
| Bennet C. RileyRepublican Party | $36,489.32 |