Texas’s 5th Congressional District House Race Winner

Twelve U.S. House seats covering the Dallas-Fort Worth area are on the Nov. 3 midterm ballot, with early voting running Oct. 19-30. Most races feature Republican incumbents—Keith Self, Pat Fallon, Lance Gooden, Jake Ellzey, Craig Goldman, Ronny Jackson, Beth Van Duyne and Roger Williams—facing Democratic challengers, plus a Libertarian in District 26. Three open seats stand out: District 30, vacated by Jasmine Crockett after her Senate run; and Districts 32 and 33, left open by Julie Johnson and Marc Veasey, respectively, after mid-decade redistricting reshaped them from Democratic-leaning to Republican-favored territory. In District 33, Colin Allred faces Patrick David Gillespie. Results are expected after 7 p.m. on Election Day.

Republican Eric Flores, challenging Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in Texas's 34th Congressional District, criticized the incumbent's record and positions in an appearance on Breitbart News Daily. Flores argued that post-redistricting changes have turned the once-Democratic-leaning seat into a competitive tossup now favoring Republicans slightly. He accused Gonzalez of being largely absent from Congress over his decade in office, passing little substantive legislation, and aligning with progressive positions on abortion and transgender issues that Flores says are out of step with south Texas voters. Flores framed Gonzalez's attempts to present himself as a moderate Democrat as inconsistent with his voting record, underscoring the race's significance as one of the nation's most closely watched House contests.

One year after Gov. Greg Abbott signed Texas's mid-decade "One Big Beautiful Map," redrawing five congressional districts at President Trump's urging, polling suggests Republicans may not be reaping the gains they expected. The redistricting combined Black-majority districts in Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth and paired two Austin Democrats, while shifting South Texas seats to favor the GOP, aiming for a net five-seat pickup for Republicans nationally.

Recent Texas Southern University polling shows Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar leading in District 28 and Rep. Vicente Gonzalez ahead in District 34, despite both districts being redrawn to favor Trump. In District 15, Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz trails Tejano musician Bobby Pulido despite a district redrawn heavily in Trump's favor. District 35, created by merging two Austin Democratic incumbents' territory, remains a contested open seat where House Speaker Mike Johnson recently campaigned for Republican Carlos De La Cruz against Democrat Johnny Garcia.

The shifting numbers, attributed partly to fallout from immigration enforcement, tariffs and inflation, complicate Republican hopes of using redistricting to offset historic midterm losses for the party controlling the White House.

Polling and interviews across Texas point to a significant erosion of Latino support for President Trump since his 2024 gains, driven by frustration over high prices, gas costs, and aggressive ICE enforcement that has rattled South Texas communities and economies. Strategists describe the shift as a rebuke of Republicans rather than genuine enthusiasm for Democrats, who still carry a damaged brand with many Latino voters. The trend could shape Texas's competitive U.S. Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, as well as newly redrawn majority-Hispanic congressional districts. Analysts expect Latino support for Democrats to partially rebound toward 2018 levels, but caution that voters remain persuadable and increasingly judge candidates individually rather than by party.

First-term Rep. Brandon Gill, R-Flower Mound, is seeking to become the top Republican on the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, setting up a contest with fellow Texan Rep. Pat Fallon of Sherman, who announced his own bid in April. Current chair James Comer of Kentucky is term-limited under GOP rules and will step down when the new Congress convenes in January.

Gill, the youngest Republican in the House, has built a large following through viral clips of combative committee questioning, including exchanges with Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker and a former American Bar Association president. Comer named him chair of a committee task force on constitutional rights in May. Fallon, a fourth-term lawmaker, points to six years of oversight work on the committee as his case for the role.

The Oversight Committee is the House's chief investigative panel. Whether the winner becomes chair or ranking member depends on which party controls the House after the November midterms.

Republicans redrew Texas' 35th Congressional District last year hoping to flip it, setting up a San Antonio-area race between Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate whose sister is Rep. Monica De La Cruz, and Democrat Johnny Garcia, a longtime Bexar County sheriff's deputy. Both are Latino men with law enforcement or military backgrounds who blur typical partisan lines: De La Cruz echoes anti-corruption, cost-cutting messaging similar to Democrats', while Garcia, a self-described "old school Democrat," breaks with his party on border policy and some social issues.

Analysts rank the 35th as a pivotal test of the GOP's mid-decade gerrymander and of whether Latino voters continue trending Republican after 2024. The district is majority Hispanic by eligible voters but leans Republican as drawn, having favored Trump by double digits last cycle. Spending has topped $9 million combined, with Trump's political network and House Majority PAC both pouring in money. Trump is set to rally for De La Cruz in San Antonio, underscoring national Republican stakes in preserving their House majority through races like this one.

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker and the Democratic Governors Association are each sending $1 million to support Gina Hinojosa's challenge to Republican Gov. Greg Abbott, according to The New York Times. The infusion is significant for Hinojosa, whose campaign had only about $4 million on hand at the end of last month. The move follows pressure from prominent Latino Democrats, including Rep. Joaquin Castro, who pushed the DGA to treat the race as competitive.

Hinojosa's bid has been somewhat overshadowed by Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico, who has raised more than $70 million against Republican Ken Paxton and is seen as a national fundraising star. Democrats haven't won a statewide race in Texas since 1994, and the governor's mansion has been held by Republicans since Ann Richards left office in 1995. Castro argued that winning the governor's race is the only way to stop Texas Republicans from attempting another congressional redistricting before 2028, telling the Times, "Gina is right there."

Texas state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee challenging Gov. Greg Abbott, filed suit in Travis County seeking full access to emails between Abbott's office and Elon Musk. Abbott had previously released over 1,300 pages to a records request, but nearly all were redacted after his office cited exemptions including "intimate and embarrassing" content. Hinojosa, invoking a Texas law letting legislators inspect confidential records, argues Abbott is violating a mandatory legal duty; she has offered to keep the material confidential. Abbott's office calls the suit "baseless" and politically motivated. The dispute cites Musk's roughly $366 million in Republican election spending, including $500,000 to Abbott's campaign, as the November 3 election nears.