Georgia Governor Race 2026: Who Will Win

Election security has emerged as a flashpoint in Georgia's governor's race, with Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms calling for vote totals precise enough to eliminate any doubt about turnout, referencing the narrow 2020 margin that put the state under national scrutiny. Republican candidate Rick Jackson drew criticism after audio surfaced suggesting Gov. Brian Kemp would deploy the National Guard to monitor the election; Kemp's office pushed back, saying its approach to elections remains unchanged. Bottoms accused Jackson of echoing Trump-aligned election claims and pointed to the FBI's raid of the Fulton County elections office and a Justice Department subpoena for poll worker information as part of an ongoing federal investigation into the 2020 election.

Separately, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld a Trump administration order letting the Department of Homeland Security compile voter eligibility lists for the U.S. Postal Service to check before mailing ballots. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger has convened a bipartisan task force to combat election misinformation, while state lawmakers continue debating a new hand-marked ballot system.

Republican Gov. Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams in their 2022 rematch, preserving GOP control of Georgia's governorship and dealing a second statewide loss to the national Democratic figure. Kemp campaigned on tax cuts and cash rebates funded by state and federal surpluses, his handling of the economy, an early end to COVID-19 restrictions, and attacks on Abrams over policing, after surviving a primary challenge backed by Donald Trump following disputes over the 2020 election.

Abrams, who would have been the first Black woman elected governor in U.S. history, campaigned on expanding Medicaid, raising teacher pay, legalizing gambling to fund college aid, tightening gun laws, and restoring abortion rights after the Supreme Court's reversal of Roe v. Wade. She outraised Kemp but trailed in polls throughout the race. Exit surveys showed the economy, inflation, and crime as top voter concerns, favoring Kemp, while abortion rights drove support for Abrams and Senator Raphael Warnock. Abrams vowed to continue advocating for voting rights and other priorities despite the loss.

President Trump traveled to Dalton, Georgia, to rally for Senate candidate Mike Collins and gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson ahead of a competitive midterm election. Unlike recent stops in safely Republican states, Georgia remains a genuine battleground, with Collins facing Sen. Jon Ossoff and Jackson facing former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms. Both Democrats seized on the visit, arguing it ties the GOP ticket to Trump's economic record and 2020 election denialism; Collins has echoed Trump's fraud claims without directly affirming Biden's legitimate win. Gov. Brian Kemp, who delayed endorsing Collins, skipped the rally. The race highlights GOP divisions and narrowing margins even in deep-red Georgia districts.

Early voting opened in Georgia for the 2026 midterm election, running through Oct. 30, with Oct. 23 as the deadline to request an absentee ballot. Nearly every major statewide office is open, with new officeholders guaranteed in most races. The headline contest pits Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms against Republican Rick Jackson for governor, while incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff faces Republican U.S. Rep. Mike Collins in a closely watched Senate race.

Down-ballot races include lieutenant governor, attorney general, secretary of state, agriculture, insurance and labor commissioner, plus two Public Service Commission seats, congressional and legislative contests. Voters will also decide three constitutional amendments covering conservation-use acreage limits, nonpartisan election of probate judges, and dedicated funding for 911 systems. Turnout data is tracked through the secretary of state's Election Data Hub. The races carry significant implications for prediction markets given Georgia's status as a key battleground state.

Republican gubernatorial candidate Burt Jackson said he's worried rural Georgia voters may not turn out strongly for him, as early voting shows high turnout among Black voters, a key bloc for Democrats. Jackson faces former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) in a close contest; a recent Atlanta Journal-Constitution/University of Georgia poll gave Jackson a narrow one-point lead. Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) leads his reelection race by a wider margin, and Democrats hope strong Ossoff turnout lifts Bottoms. Jackson, a billionaire healthcare executive, has self-funded over $100 million of his campaign, far outpacing Bottoms, though Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker donated $1 million to her effort. Decision Desk HQ gives Bottoms a 56 percent win probability.

South Carolina Republicans returned to the polls Tuesday to pick a nominee for the Senate seat long held by the late Lindsey Graham, who died in July after winning renomination in June. Sen. Darline Graham, appointed to fill her brother's term and backed by President Trump and Sen. Tim Scott, faced Rep. Ralph Norman in a runoff after neither cleared a majority in the Aug. 11 primary; third-place finisher Rep. Russell Fry endorsed Graham. The winner faces Democrat Annie Andrews in the fall.

In Georgia's 13th Congressional District near Atlanta, Democrats Everton Blair and Marcye Scott, daughter of late Rep. David Scott, competed in a runoff to serve the remainder of Scott's term after topping a five-candidate field in July. Neither is seeking the full term beginning in 2027; that contest will pit Democratic state Rep. Jasmine Clark against Republican Jonathan Chavez in November. Both races drew attention as tests of turnout and party strength ahead of the 2026 midterms, now 70 days off.

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger announced that the state printed 5 million copies of a new "I Voted" sticker design for the general election, created by Atlanta artist Jon Penley. The sticker will be distributed to all 159 counties, though officials say counties can choose whether to hand out the new design, the traditional peach sticker, or both.

Raffensperger's office said Penley created the design as a favor, without payment, and the artist has a personal relationship with the secretary, who is leaving office next January. Penley is known for strongly conservative political views and has hosted campaign events for Gov. Brian Kemp and former Senate candidate Herschel Walker at his studio. He has also depicted Donald Trump in his artwork, including a piece commemorating the 2024 assassination attempt.

Supporters note Penley's broader body of work includes portraits of Democratic figures like John F. Kennedy and Michelle Obama, the latter held in the Barack Obama Presidential Library's collection. The design choice has nonetheless drawn criticism over the artist's political associations ahead of the election.

A scheduled debate between Georgia gubernatorial candidates fell apart Tuesday when Republican nominee Rick Jackson declined to appear opposite Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in an in-studio matchup at 11Alive. Supporters for both campaigns clashed outside the station after Jackson backers crashed a Democratic Party of Georgia news conference. Party chair Charlie Bailey criticized Jackson for rejecting Bottoms' challenge to hold six statewide debates; Jackson has agreed only to an October town hall, saying his campaign is focused on direct voter outreach. It remains unclear whether he will reconsider before Atlanta Press Club debates set for October 12 and 13.

The turmoil comes as Georgia's Senate race also intensifies. Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff called on GOP nominee Mike Collins to release all communications between his office and white nationalists, after Collins aide Kip Talley departed amid revelations he had contacted figures including Nick Fuentes and Richard Spencer to help free a convicted Holocaust denier. Collins' campaign denied Talley was formally affiliated with the office and accused Ossoff of ignoring extremism among his own allies.

Leaked audio obtained by the Daily Caller shows Georgia Democratic gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms telling donors she is "deeply concerned" about President Trump's executive order targeting cashless bail, arguing it primarily harms poor people facing low-level misdemeanor charges. In the recording, Bottoms claimed cash bail does not apply to felons, a statement that is inaccurate — Georgia law does apply cash bail requirements to felony offenses.

Trump's order directs federal agencies to identify and withhold funding from jurisdictions that have substantially eliminated cash bail for crimes posing a public safety threat, including violent, sexual, and property offenses. As Atlanta mayor, Bottoms signed an ordinance eliminating cash bond for minor offenses like public drunkenness and disorderly conduct, during a period marked by rising crime in the city. Bottoms faces Republican nominee Rick Jackson in the November 3 general election. Her campaign has not responded to requests for comment on the leaked remarks.