Georgia Secretary of State: 2026 Election Winner
Georgia voters will choose a new Secretary of State in November 2026, a race shaped by incumbent Brad Raffensperger’s decision on whether to seek reelection after his high-profile clashes with efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential results. The office oversees elections, business registrations, and professional licensing in the state. Candidates from both major parties are expected to compete for the position amid continued national attention on Georgia’s election administration.
Why Markets Are Watching
Georgia remains a closely contested battleground state, and its Secretary of State controls how elections are run and disputes resolved. The 2020 certification fight made this office a symbol of election integrity debates nationwide. Whoever wins will shape voter access rules and certification procedures heading into the 2028 presidential cycle.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The contract reduces a multi-candidate primary and general election process into a single binary question: which party claims the office. Traders are effectively weighing Georgia’s broader partisan lean against the specific dynamics of a down-ballot statewide race. Name recognition, incumbency effects, and turnout patterns in a midterm year all factor into how this question resolves.
Related terms
Total Volume
$11.3k
Kalshi $8.9k · Polymarket $2.4k
Leading Market
Penny Brown Reynolds
Kalshi 68% · Polymarket 66%
Penny Brown Reynolds Volume
$7k
Kalshi $5.8k · Polymarket $1.2k
Penny Brown Reynolds 24h Change
-11.00%
Kalshi +7.00% · Polymarket -11.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penny Brown ReynoldsDemocratic Party | 68.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Penny Brown Reynolds on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 67.0¢ | 5% | , trade Penny Brown Reynolds on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Tim FlemingRepublican Party | 33.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Tim Fleming on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 41.0¢ | 5% | , trade Tim Fleming on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penny Brown ReynoldsDemocratic Party | $6,985.20 | ||
| Tim FlemingRepublican Party | $4,319.45 |