North Carolina’s 14th District House Race
North Carolina’s 14th Congressional District, covering suburban Charlotte-area counties, will hold an election in 2026 to fill its U.S. House seat. The district has been competitive in recent cycles amid redistricting fights that reshaped its boundaries. Candidates from both major parties are expected to compete for the seat as part of the broader battle for House control.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the U.S. House could hinge on a handful of swing districts like NC-14, making this race a bellwether for national political momentum. North Carolina’s shifting demographics and redrawn maps add uncertainty to who holds an edge. The outcome will shape policy direction and legislative balance in Washington for the next two years.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The market reduces a crowded field of candidates to a single question: which party ultimately secures the seat. Separate contracts for individual candidates let traders isolate whether a specific nominee breaks through a primary before the general election matters. This structure effectively prices both intra-party competition and the final partisan outcome as distinct, tradeable layers of the same race.
Related terms
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Democratic Party (United States) -
Redistricting -
North Carolina -
Swing (seat) -
Charlotte, North Carolina -
North Carolina Republican Party -
Tim Moore (North Carolina politician)
Total Volume
$161.4k
Kalshi $79.5k · Polymarket $81.9k
Leading Market
Tim Moore
Kalshi 77% · Polymarket 76%
Tim Moore Volume
$124k
Kalshi $50.3k · Polymarket $73.7k
Tim Moore 24h Change
-6.00%
Kalshi -6.00% · Polymarket 0.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim MooreRepublican Party | 77.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Tim Moore on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 76.0¢ | 5% | , trade Tim Moore on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Lakesha WomackDemocratic Party | — | — | — | 26.0¢ | 5% | , trade Lakesha Womack on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| LaKesha WomackDemocratic Party | 25.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade LaKesha Womack on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim MooreRepublican Party | $123,984.57 | ||
| Lakesha WomackDemocratic Party | $8,229.32 | No market | |
| LaKesha WomackDemocratic Party | $29,192.07 | No market |