Michigan Secretary of State Election: 2026 Winner
Michigan voters will elect a new Secretary of State in November 2026, as incumbent Democrat Jocelyn Benson is term-limited and running for governor instead. The office oversees state elections administration, voter registration, and the Department of State’s motor vehicle and business services. With Benson departing, both parties face open contests to determine their nominees before the general election.
Why Markets Are Watching
Michigan is a perennial presidential battleground, and its Secretary of State plays a direct role in certifying elections and setting voting rules. The 2020 and 2022 cycles made the office a flashpoint in disputes over election integrity and administration. Whoever wins will shape ballot access and certification procedures heading into the 2028 presidential race.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The contract reduces a multi-candidate primary and general election process into a single binary: which party captures the office. This isolates partisan control of election administration as the key variable, stripping out the personalities and policy platforms of individual candidates. Traders are effectively weighing Michigan’s statewide partisan lean against down-ballot turnout patterns that have historically diverged from top-of-ticket results.
Total Volume
$25k
Kalshi $18.1k · Polymarket $6.9k
Leading Market
Garlin Gilchrist
Kalshi 87%
Garlin Gilchrist Volume
$9.9k
Kalshi $9.9k
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garlin GilchristDemocratic Party | 87.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Garlin Gilchrist on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Garlin Gilchrist IIDemocratic Party | — | — | — | 86.0¢ | 5% | , trade Garlin Gilchrist II on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Anthony ForliniRepublican Party | 14.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Anthony Forlini on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 14.0¢ | 5% | , trade Anthony Forlini on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garlin GilchristDemocratic Party | $9,908.10 | No market | |
| Garlin Gilchrist IIDemocratic Party | $4,356.89 | No market | |
| Anthony ForliniRepublican Party | $10,694.49 |