Total Volume
$28k
Kalshi $1.6k · Polymarket $26.4k
Leading Market
Lou Correa
Kalshi 97% · Polymarket 98%
Lou Correa Volume
$4.8k
Kalshi $397.51 · Polymarket $4.4k
Lou Correa 24h Change
-1.00%
Kalshi +0.50% · Polymarket -1.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou CorreaDemocratic Party | 99.0¢ | 7.0% |
|
98.0¢ | 5% |
|
| David PanRepublican Party | 3.3¢ | 7.0% |
|
5.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
Local & State
Santa Ana bars city employees from moonlighting for ICE
PN Team • 1 month ago
The Santa Ana City Council voted unanimously to bar city employees from taking outside jobs involving federal immigration enforcement, such as investigating, arresting, detaining, transporting, or deporting people for agencies like ICE or contractors assisting them. The policy carves out exceptions for outside work with the U.S. Armed Forces or the Department of Homeland Security. A second vote is required at the council's Oct. 6 meeting before the policy takes effect.
Santa Ana, home to Orange County's largest Latino population and the county's only self-declared sanctuary city, saw ICE raids and protests roil the community last summer. City officials say outside immigration-enforcement work creates a conflict of interest and undermines public trust, particularly in the police department. The move echoes a similar policy Los Angeles adopted in March and mirrors a bill under consideration in the California legislature that would bar state peace officers from moonlighting as ICE agents. It's unclear how many Santa Ana employees the new rule will affect.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Santa Ana, California Santa Ana is portrayed favorably as taking proactive action to protect residents and build public trust amid ICE tensions.
- United States Armed Forces The U.S. Armed Forces is mentioned only as a carve-out exception, a neutral factual reference.
- United States Congress Congress is tangentially mentioned as considering a similar bill, a neutral factual note.
- Orange County, California Orange County is mentioned factually as context for Santa Ana's Latino population and sanctuary city status.
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Elections
California’s Prop. 4 would let taxpayer money fund political campaigns
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
California voters will decide in November whether to lift a 1988 ban that bars the state and most local governments from using public funds to finance political campaigns. Proposition 4 would authorize the state and most localities to establish public campaign financing systems for state and local races, similar to programs already used by seven charter cities including San Francisco, Berkeley and Oakland. Candidates would need to meet qualifying criteria, such as securing small-dollar donors or accepting spending caps, to receive funding as grants, matching funds or vouchers.
Supporters, including Gov. Gavin Newsom, the state Democratic Party and good-government groups, argue public financing counters the influence of big private money and could broaden the pool of candidates. Opponents, including Republican lawmakers and some newspaper editorial boards, say taxpayers shouldn't subsidize campaigns and criticize the measure for lacking enforcement specifics, since it exempts the state's campaign finance watchdog from overseeing local programs. Voters rejected similar measures in 2000 and 2010, and recent polling shows continued public skepticism toward Prop. 4.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Gavin Newsom Newsom is named as a prominent supporter of the measure, lending it credibility.
- Oakland, California Oakland is cited as a city with an existing public financing program, a mildly favorable reference.
- San Francisco San Francisco is cited as a city with an existing public financing program, a mildly favorable reference.
- Democratic Party (United States) The state Democratic Party is noted as a supporter of the measure, a neutral factual mention.
- Republican Party (United States) Republican lawmakers are cited as opponents criticizing the measure, a mild negative framing but largely factual.
- California California is the subject state of the ballot measure, mentioned factually throughout.
- Local government Local governments are mentioned as entities that could implement public financing systems, a neutral factual reference.
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Local & State
California child marriage ban awaits Newsom’s signature after years of blocked attempts
PN Team • 1 month ago
California lawmakers have passed Assembly Bill 1267, which would end the state's current law allowing minors to marry with parental and judicial consent. The measure, authored by Assemblymember Gail Pellerin, cleared the Legislature with near-unanimous support in August and now awaits Governor Gavin Newsom's decision by September 30.
California is one of just three states, along with New Mexico and Mississippi, with no minimum marriage age. An estimated 9,000 minors marry in the state each year, mostly girls wedding adult men, according to the advocacy group Unchained at Last. Previous bans failed for nearly a decade, largely due to opposition from the ACLU and Planned Parenthood, who argued restrictions would undermine minors' reproductive autonomy and access to independent healthcare. This year, facing pressure from federal defunding efforts and increased reliance on state support, Planned Parenthood stayed neutral while the ACLU maintained its opposition. Advocates, including survivors of child marriage, say the bill closes a loophole that has effectively legalized relationships otherwise considered statutory rape under state law.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Mississippi Mississippi is grouped among states lacking minimum marriage age laws, implying a negative practice.
- New Mexico New Mexico is grouped among states lacking minimum marriage age laws, implying a negative practice.
- Gavin Newsom Newsom is mentioned as the governor who will decide on the bill, a neutral-to-slightly-positive procedural role.
- California California is described factually as one of few states without a marriage age minimum, a neutral contextual mention with slight negative undertone offset by reform efforts.
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Congress
Rep. Young Kim faces new questions over undisclosed husband’s nonprofit income
PN Team • 2 months ago
Rep. Young Kim (R-CA) has not reported any income for her husband, Charles Kim, on congressional financial disclosures since first running in 2018, despite Orange County records showing he earned up to $100,000 in 2017 as a U.S. coordinator for Dam Jae, a South Korean nonprofit honoring Korean War veterans. The nonprofit's chairman says the payments were volunteer expense reimbursements, not wages, and Kim's campaign says her husband has been retired since 2017 with only exempt Social Security income.
The disclosure comes amid other financial-transparency disputes involving Kim, including a 2025 ethics complaint alleging she failed to report nearly $50,000 in privately funded travel with her husband to Israel and South Korea, and a failed 2018 lawsuit challenging her "small business owner" ballot label. The renewed scrutiny arrives as Kim faces a bruising general-election matchup against fellow Republican Rep. Ken Calvert in California's redrawn 40th District, a race where both incumbents' financial disclosure histories have become a campaign flashpoint.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Young Kim Kim is the central subject facing serious allegations of undisclosed income and ethics violations.
- United States Congress Congressional financial disclosure rules are central to the story's scrutiny of Kim's reporting failures.
- United States House of Representatives The House is the body where disclosure requirements were allegedly violated, reflecting mild institutional scrutiny.
- Israel Israel is mentioned only as a destination in the undisclosed travel allegation.
- Ken Calvert Calvert is mentioned as Kim's electoral rival with his own disclosure controversies noted as a comparison point.
- Republican Party (United States) Both Kim and Calvert are Republicans, so the party is mentioned tangentially in a financial scandal context without direct blame.
- California California is mentioned as the state Kim represents, a neutral geographic reference.
- Orange County, California Orange County records are cited as the factual source of the husband's income data.
- United States The U.S. is mentioned generically in reference to Kim's husband's coordinator role and Social Security income.
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Education
San Diego County School Districts’ Fiscal Health Under Scrutiny
PN Team • 7 days ago
A review of San Diego County's 42 school districts, using the California Policy Center's Local Fiscal Health Dashboard, found only one in five districts earned a grade of B or better for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. A per-capita ranking based on districts' unrestricted net position showed seven districts shifting five or more places, with several, including Bonsall Unified, San Dieguito Union High and Solana Beach, showing unexplained swings in their "net investment in capital assets" figures. Gov. Gavin Newsom signed Senate Bill 1126, requiring districts to post audited reports within 30 days of school board approval, aiming to improve transparency.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Gavin Newsom Portrayed positively for signing a transparency-focused law improving district reporting.
- San Diego County, California County's districts broadly criticized for weak fiscal health and unexplained financial swings.
- California Mentioned as the state context for the dashboard and legislation, factual only.
- United States Senate Referenced only via Senate Bill 1126's legislative origin, no direct commentary.
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Elections
San Diego County releases voter guide for November general election
PN Team • 4 weeks ago
California voters head to the polls in November to decide statewide and local races alongside 14 ballot propositions, including a closely watched "billionaires tax" measure and a recall-process reform. San Diego County's voter guide outlines a packed slate of contests, with voter pamphlets mailed in late September and ballots beginning to arrive October 5.
Key federal races include five competitive U.S. House districts (48–52), pitting incumbents and challengers from both parties after redistricting reshaped several seats. State Senate and Assembly races feature multiple incumbents defending seats, while the California State Board of Equalization's District 4 race pits a local water official against a sitting state senator.
Locally, San Diego County voters will also choose county supervisors, school board members, and city officials across numerous municipalities including San Diego, Chula Vista, Carlsbad, Escondido, Oceanside, and others, alongside mayoral races and special district seats covering healthcare, water, and community college boards. The wide-ranging ballot reflects a highly competitive election cycle across Southern California.
Sources:
Sentiment
- California California is the backdrop state for the statewide and local election coverage, mentioned factually.
- California's 48th congressional district District 48 is listed among the five competitive U.S. House districts in a neutral factual mention.
- California's 49th congressional district District 49 is listed among the five competitive U.S. House districts in a neutral factual mention.
- California's 50th congressional district District 50 is listed among the five competitive U.S. House districts in a neutral factual mention.
- California's 51st congressional district District 51 is listed among the five competitive U.S. House districts in a neutral factual mention.
- California's 52nd congressional district District 52 is listed among the five competitive U.S. House districts in a neutral factual mention.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned neutrally as one of the parties with candidates in competitive races.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned neutrally as one of the parties with candidates in competitive races.
- San Diego San Diego is named as one of the municipalities holding local elections, a neutral factual mention.
- San Diego County, California San Diego County is the central subject of the article, providing a neutral voter guide.
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Elections
California Deploys Election Attorneys Amid Federal Dispute Over Midterm Voting
PN Team • 1 day ago
Gov. Gavin Newsom and the California Democratic Party are sending 134 election law attorneys, 1,000 voter protection volunteers, and 54 hotline operators to five congressional districts for the midterms, after the White House accused the state of allowing noncitizens to vote illegally. The move follows a federal judge blocking the Justice Department from forcing California to set aside 20,000 ballots it alleged were fraudulently cast. Newsom called the lawsuit a last-minute attempt to undermine Democratic midterm gains, predicting the party will easily retake the House. The targeted districts include several redrawn last year under a Newsom-backed redistricting initiative favoring Democrats.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Gavin Newsom Portrayed as defending the state against a federal lawsuit and confidently predicting political gains.
- Democratic Party (United States) Portrayed as favored by a redistricting initiative and poised to retake the House.
- California Central to a factual account of a federal-state dispute over election administration.
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Local & State
California’s Prop. 36 struggles to deliver promised drug treatment, data shows
PN Team • 1 month ago
Two years after California voters passed Proposition 36, a tough-on-crime measure that let people charged with drug felonies opt into treatment instead of jail, an analysis of data from the state's largest counties finds few defendants actually completing treatment or having charges dismissed. Of 18,666 felony drug cases charged statewide last year, only 17% of defendants opted for treatment, and just 57 cases ended in dismissal after graduation. Implementation varies widely: some counties, like San Francisco, have made almost no arrests under the law, while others impose treatment periods ranging from three months to two years.
Prop. 36 passed without dedicated funding, and subsequent state budget allocations have fallen far short of what counties say they need. Shortages of treatment beds, case managers, and housing have left many participants, a large share of them homeless, unable to get consistent care. Old convictions with no statute of limitations have also triggered felony charges for people who had been sober for years. Prison admissions under the law are rising, though supporters argue the program is still helping people who otherwise would not seek treatment.
Sources:
Sentiment
- California California's flagship drug policy reform is shown falling short of its treatment goals due to underfunding and implementation problems.
- San Francisco San Francisco is cited as having made almost no arrests under the law, suggesting weak enforcement or implementation.
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Elections
Los Angeles, Orange counties begin mailing ballots for November election
PN Team • 1 month ago
Los Angeles County begins mailing ballots this Thursday ahead of the Nov. 3 election, with all California counties required to start mailing by Oct. 5. In the June primary, nearly 82% of ballots cast in L.A. County were by mail. Voters can return ballots as soon as they arrive, using postage-free mail, official dropboxes, or in-person Vote Centers, which open starting Oct. 24 and will all be operating by Halloween. Orange County expects the U.S. Postal Service to pick up about 1.9 million ballots on Saturday, with delivery beginning Oct. 5.
The update comes amid scrutiny of federal efforts to restrict mail-in voting. The U.S. Supreme Court recently issued an injunction blocking a Trump administration executive order that would have required states to submit voter lists and directed USPS to send ballots only to approved recipients. California's Secretary of State says no changes have taken effect and voters can cast ballots without added uncertainty. State and local officials continue to encourage early voting ahead of the November election.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Los Angeles County, California Los Angeles County is portrayed neutrally as efficiently beginning mail-in ballot distribution ahead of the election.
- Orange County, California Orange County is mentioned factually regarding ballot mailing logistics without notable praise or criticism.
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Elections
Orange County Mayor Race Hinges on Amendment 3 Response
PN Team • 6 days ago
Orange County, Florida voters on Nov. 3 will pick a new mayor from Democrat Tiffany Moore Russell and Republican Chris Messina, while also voting on Amendment 3, a statewide measure to phase out property taxes on primary homes. Moore Russell opposes the amendment and says she'd cut vacant positions, review contracts and freeze hiring to offset losses; Messina supports it and favors zero-based budgeting and selling unused county assets. Analysts estimate the county could lose hundreds of millions in general fund and public safety tax revenue if the measure passes. Moore Russell led the August primary, and the race has become the costliest in county history.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Identifies Moore Russell's party affiliation in a factual election context.
- Florida Named as the state holding the statewide property tax amendment vote.
- Republican Party (United States) Identifies Messina's party affiliation in a factual election context.
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California’s 47th District House Race 2026
Leading:
97.5%
Dave Min
Vol $127.2k
California’s 49th Congressional District: Who Will Win the House Seat
Leading:
98.5%
Mike Levin
Vol $0.00
California’s 40th District House Race 2026
Leading:
60%
Young Kim
Vol $8.7k
CA-42 House winner?
Leading:
98.5%
Robert Garcia
Vol $8.2k
California’s 39th District House Race: Who Will Win?
Leading:
96.5%
Mark Takano
Vol $4.9k
How Many House Seats Will Democrats Win in California in 2026
Leading:
78.5%
48
Vol $8.8k
California’s 38th Congressional District: Who Will Win the House Seat?
Leading:
98.5%
Hilda Solis
Vol $15.1k
California’s 2nd Congressional District: Who Wins the House Seat
Leading:
98%
Jared Huffman
Vol $86.4k