Total Volume
$18.4k
Kalshi $957.06 · Polymarket $17.4k
Leading Market
Norma J. Torres
Polymarket 99%
Norma J. Torres Volume
$270.40
Polymarket $270.40
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma J. TorresDemocratic Party | — | — | — | 99.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Norma TorresDemocratic Party | 99.4¢ | 7.0% |
|
— | — | — |
| Mike CargileRepublican Party | 1.9¢ | 7.0% |
|
2.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
Climate
LA Wildfire Survivors Tie Federal Aid Hopes to Midterm Elections
PN Team • 2 days ago
Nearly two years after the Eaton and Palisades fires, many Los Angeles-area survivors are running out of savings and temporary housing aid, with FEMA rental assistance for renters having expired in October. The Trump administration omitted LA wildfire relief from its summer budget request, and California's request for $16 billion in long-term recovery funds remains unresolved. A nonprofit survey found over a quarter of survivors have exhausted displacement coverage, with mental health and financial strain topping their concerns.
Democratic lawmakers Judy Chu and Norma Torres say a Democratic takeover of the House (and possibly Senate) in November could unlock stalled federal disaster aid, as Republicans have been reluctant to push the issue absent White House backing. State and local officials say they are seeking other funding sources in the meantime.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump administration criticized for omitting LA wildfire relief from its budget request.
- Judy Chu Portrayed as advocating for survivors and linking aid to a Democratic majority.
- Norma Torres Depicted as pushing for federal disaster aid for constituents.
- Republican Party (United States) Republicans depicted as reluctant to push aid without White House backing.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democratic lawmakers are portrayed as advocating for disaster relief for survivors.
- Los Angeles Los Angeles area survivors described as struggling with depleted aid and savings.
- United States Congress Congress referenced as the body that could unlock stalled disaster aid.
- Washington, D.C. Washington referenced indirectly via federal budget and political gridlock.
- California California's unresolved $16 billion recovery request is mentioned factually.
- United States House of Representatives House control is framed as a path to unlocking federal aid.
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Congress
Rep. Young Kim faces new questions over undisclosed husband’s nonprofit income
PN Team • 2 months ago
Rep. Young Kim (R-CA) has not reported any income for her husband, Charles Kim, on congressional financial disclosures since first running in 2018, despite Orange County records showing he earned up to $100,000 in 2017 as a U.S. coordinator for Dam Jae, a South Korean nonprofit honoring Korean War veterans. The nonprofit's chairman says the payments were volunteer expense reimbursements, not wages, and Kim's campaign says her husband has been retired since 2017 with only exempt Social Security income.
The disclosure comes amid other financial-transparency disputes involving Kim, including a 2025 ethics complaint alleging she failed to report nearly $50,000 in privately funded travel with her husband to Israel and South Korea, and a failed 2018 lawsuit challenging her "small business owner" ballot label. The renewed scrutiny arrives as Kim faces a bruising general-election matchup against fellow Republican Rep. Ken Calvert in California's redrawn 40th District, a race where both incumbents' financial disclosure histories have become a campaign flashpoint.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Young Kim Kim is the central subject facing serious allegations of undisclosed income and ethics violations.
- United States Congress Congressional financial disclosure rules are central to the story's scrutiny of Kim's reporting failures.
- United States House of Representatives The House is the body where disclosure requirements were allegedly violated, reflecting mild institutional scrutiny.
- Israel Israel is mentioned only as a destination in the undisclosed travel allegation.
- Ken Calvert Calvert is mentioned as Kim's electoral rival with his own disclosure controversies noted as a comparison point.
- Republican Party (United States) Both Kim and Calvert are Republicans, so the party is mentioned tangentially in a financial scandal context without direct blame.
- California California is mentioned as the state Kim represents, a neutral geographic reference.
- Orange County, California Orange County records are cited as the factual source of the husband's income data.
- United States The U.S. is mentioned generically in reference to Kim's husband's coordinator role and Social Security income.
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Elections
California State Senate Race Becomes Costliest of the Cycle
PN Team • 1 day ago
A Los Angeles-area state Senate race between labor-backed West Hollywood City Councilmember John Erickson and business-supported media consultant Brian Goldsmith has become California's most expensive state Senate general election contest this cycle, driven by heavy outside spending. The district, covering Malibu, Santa Monica, the Pacific Palisades, Beverly Hills and West Hollywood, carries a 12-year term limit as both seek to succeed termed-out Sen. Ben Allen.
Business groups have targeted Erickson with attack spending, while tech-linked donors and Goldsmith's own personal funds have boosted his campaign; labor groups opposing Goldsmith have spent far less. Nancy Pelosi recently endorsed Goldsmith. Ads focus on affordability, housing, public safety and partisan loyalty, reflecting a broader business-labor struggle over California Democratic Party direction.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Referenced as the party whose internal business-labor struggle frames the race.
- California Referenced factually as the state where the race occurs.
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Elections
DOJ presses court to block California ballots tied to alleged noncitizen voter list
PN Team • 1 week ago
The Justice Department is urging a federal judge to rule quickly on its bid to stop California from counting ballots cast by people on a federal list of more than 20,000 potential noncitizens. The request came after Secretary of State Shirley Weber and L.A. County registrar Dean Logan did not review the list on the DOJ's timeline; California's Attorney General Rob Bonta has moved to dismiss the suit, calling it legally weak. Federal officials separately charged 28 legal permanent residents with voter fraud-related offenses this week. In a related case, a federal judge blocked the Department of Homeland Security from using its own noncitizen-voter list, finding it unreliable. State audits show noncitizen voting is rare.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Rob Bonta Bonta is shown pushing back against the DOJ suit as legally weak, a neutral-to-mildly favorable portrayal of a state official defending state processes.
- California California is the subject of the voter list dispute but mostly factual context without strong reputational framing.
- Los Angeles County, California L.A. County's registrar is mentioned regarding the list review delay, a mild factual reference.
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Elections
California Counties Rebuff DOJ Push to Flag Noncitizen Ballots
PN Team • 1 day ago
Santa Clara County rejected a DOJ demand for data on 902 voters it suspects are noncitizens and to set aside their ballots, calling it unlawful and infeasible before Election Day; San Mateo and Contra Costa counties raised similar objections, noting the DOJ letters carry no court order. The dispute escalated after a federal judge and a 9th Circuit panel both rejected a related Trump administration effort to block roughly 20,000 California ballots statewide, calling the claims about noncitizen voters not credible and the intervention unconstitutional. The DOJ has appealed again. Gov. Newsom says California is deploying election attorneys to monitor DOJ observers at polling sites.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump administration's intervention is described as unconstitutional and based on non-credible claims.
- Gavin Newsom Newsom portrayed as proactively defending election integrity by deploying attorneys.
- Local government Counties portrayed as pushing back lawfully against federal overreach.
- Santa Clara County, California County portrayed as standing firm against an unlawful federal data demand.
- California State mentioned factually as the site of the voting dispute and legal rulings.
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Elections
Justice Department warns California officials of prosecution risk over noncitizen ballots
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
The Trump administration has warned California election officials that processing ballots cast by suspected noncitizen voters could expose them to criminal investigation and prosecution. A letter from acting deputy attorney general Trent McCotter called noncitizen voting a federal crime and said officials who knowingly facilitate it risk being treated as aiders and abettors. The DOJ sued California after it missed a 48-hour deadline to cross-check a federal list of roughly 20,000 flagged names; federal prosecutors have since charged 28 green-card holders across California, 11 arrested, saying all appeared on that list. Secretary of State Shirley Weber called the demand unprecedented and said officials provided too little information to verify names. Governor Newsom calls the suit voter suppression; the dispute looms over competitive California House races in the midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Donald Trump The Trump administration is depicted as initiating a contentious crackdown that critics call voter suppression.
- Gavin Newsom Newsom is shown pushing back against the DOJ, framing the administration's actions as suppression, which casts him as a defender of state authority.
- California California is the subject of federal scrutiny and legal action over election procedures, a mildly negative portrayal.
- United States The United States is mentioned only as the national context for federal law and elections.
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Climate
California enacts first-in-nation standards for wildfire smoke damage claims
PN Team • 1 month ago
Gov. Gavin Newsom has signed a package of bills establishing California's first statewide standards for testing and remediating smoke damage from wildfires, aimed at speeding recovery for survivors of the January 2025 Los Angeles County fires. Nearly two years later, many homeowners whose houses did not burn remain displaced amid disputes with insurers over who pays for smoke-damage testing and cleanup; the state Insurance Department estimates more than 13,000 such claims stemmed from the fires.
Assembly Bill 1642 directs the Department of Toxic Substances Control to set lead and asbestos testing standards by 2028 and broader contaminant standards by 2029, with existing federal and state rules applying in the interim. AB 1795 creates a legal presumption that smoke damage in a fire zone originated from the fire, requiring insurers to cover testing, remediation and alternative living expenses until a home is confirmed safe to reoccupy. Additional bills establish a statewide mortgage forbearance program for homes deemed uninhabitable after disasters and extend forbearance to 24 months for fire survivors. Advocacy group Eaton Fire Residents United, whose testing found lingering contaminants even after professional cleanup, backed the changes. Insurers and local governments remain in separate disputes over smoke-damage claim handling.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Gavin Newsom Newsom is portrayed favorably as signing legislation to help wildfire survivors and address a significant consumer protection gap.
- California California is credited with pioneering first-in-nation standards to protect wildfire survivors.
- Governor of California Mentioned as the office signing the bills, associated with a proactive policy response to wildfire recovery issues.
- Los Angeles County, California Referenced as the site of ongoing hardship for fire survivors still displaced amid insurance disputes.
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Education
Most eligible California students have not claimed CalKIDS college savings funds
PN Team • 4 weeks ago
Fewer than 20% of eligible public school students in Los Angeles County have claimed money from CalKIDS, California's statewide college savings program. Launched in 2022, the California Kids Investment and Development Savings Program created investment accounts for more than 6 million children to help pay for higher education. Babies born on or after July 1, 2022, can receive up to $175 in their accounts, while low-income public school students can claim as much as $1,500.
In LA County, about 1.1 million public school students qualify, but claim rates remain low, and even lower among newborns, at roughly 11%, according to Cassandra DiBenedetto of California's ScholarShare Investment Board. There is no deadline to claim the funds, which continue to grow once activated, though recipients must use the money by age 26. Officials say having the accounts can encourage younger students to see college as attainable. The state is partnering with the Los Angeles Unified School District and other districts to boost enrollment and awareness.
Sources:
Sentiment
- California California's CalKIDS program is portrayed as a well-intentioned initiative, though low claim rates slightly undercut its effectiveness.
- Los Angeles County, California Los Angeles County is highlighted for having low claim rates among eligible students, a mildly unfavorable statistic.
- Los Angeles Los Angeles is mentioned via LAUSD's partnership efforts to boost awareness, a neutral-to-mildly positive mention.
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Elections
Los Angeles Mayoral Race: Raman Lays Out Platform Against Bass
PN Team • 1 day ago
With polls showing a tight contest days before the Nov. 3 election, LA City Councilmember Nithya Raman has detailed plans to challenge incumbent Mayor Karen Bass. Her platform includes moving the city's homelessness budget away from the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority, giving the city controller broad audit power, and cutting encampments by half before the 2028 Olympics. On housing, she pledges a "shot clock" for permits, self-certification for simple projects, new high-rise zones, and a Office of Tenant Protections. On public safety, Raman would expand unarmed crisis response teams and has signaled she would replace LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell.
Bass, in office since 2022, has faced scrutiny over wildfire response, federal immigration enforcement, and homelessness policy, issues likely to shape how voters weigh the race's outcome.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Los Angeles Setting for the mayoral race coverage, mentioned factually without evaluative framing.
Related Events
Related Events
Elections
DOJ Subpoenas Los Angeles Election Workers Amid Noncitizen Voter Dispute
PN Team • 10 hours ago
The Department of Justice has escalated its investigation into alleged noncitizen voting in California, issuing three grand jury subpoenas to Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder employees ordering them to appear in court Nov. 4. The subpoenas seek documents and communications tied to DOJ letters sent in July and October alleging noncitizens on the state's voter rolls, plus any efforts to keep such votes from being counted.
Earlier, the DOJ sued California after giving officials 48 hours to match 20,000 DHS-flagged names against state data; a federal preliminary review found about 118,000 matches nationwide, below Trump's earlier claim of 250,000. A judge already rejected a DOJ bid to force removal of over 20,000 mail-in ballots, and the department has appealed while Los Angeles says it is complying with the law.
Sentiment
- Donald Trump Trump's earlier noncitizen voting claim is shown as significantly overstated by official review.
- Los Angeles Los Angeles presented as complying with the law amid federal subpoenas.
- Los Angeles County, California County election workers subpoenaed, placing the county at the center of a legal dispute.
- California California named as the subject of a federal lawsuit over voter roll data.
- Local government Local government described as complying with the law amid federal pressure.
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California’s 31st Congressional District: Who Will Win the 2026 House Race
Leading:
97.5%
Gil Cisneros
Vol $44.1k
California’s 26th District House Race 2026
Leading:
96.5%
Jacqui Irwin
Vol $44.1k
California’s 32nd District House Race 2026
Leading:
98.5%
Brad Sherman
Vol $41.7k
California’s 39th District House Race: Who Will Win?
Leading:
96.5%
Mark Takano
Vol $4.9k
Who Will Win California’s 28th Congressional District in 2026?
Leading:
98%
Judy Chu
Vol $23.6k
Who Will Win California’s 37th Congressional District House Race?
Leading:
87.5%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove
Vol $17.1k
Who Will Win California’s 29th Congressional District House Race?
Leading:
92%
Luz Rivas
Vol $4.8k
CA-42 House winner?
Leading:
98.5%
Robert Garcia
Vol $8.2k