Elections
Texas’s 13th Congressional District: 2026 House Race
Texas’s 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat covering the Panhandle and parts of North Texas, will hold its House election on November 3, 2026. The district has elected Republicans by wide margins for years, making the GOP primary the de facto decisive contest. Voters will choose a representative to serve a two-year term in the U.S. House.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the House majority hinges on hundreds of individual district outcomes, and even safe seats factor into overall seat-count math. TX-13 also offers a signal on Republican base enthusiasm and turnout patterns heading into a midterm cycle. Primary dynamics within the district can hint at broader intraparty trends across rural and conservative constituencies.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The core question traders face is simply which party’s nominee wins the general election, reducing a multi-candidate race to a binary outcome. Given the district’s partisan lean, the real informational value lies in how decisively one side is favored and whether that view shifts as the primary field clarifies. Movement in this market effectively tracks confidence in the GOP’s hold rather than genuine suspense over the winner.
Related terms
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Republican Party (United States) -
General election -
Electoral district -
Politics of Texas -
Texas panhandle -
North Texas -
Ronny Jackson -
Texas's 13th congressional district
Total Volume
$72.9k
Kalshi $26k · Polymarket $46.9k
Leading Market
Ronny Lynn Jackson
Polymarket 99%
Ronny Lynn Jackson Volume
$7.7k
Polymarket $7.7k
Ronny Lynn Jackson 24h Change
-1.00%
Polymarket -1.00%
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Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronny Lynn JacksonRepublican Party | — | — | — | 99.0¢ | 5% | , trade Ronny Lynn Jackson on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Ronny JacksonRepublican Party | 98.9¢ | 7.0% | , trade Ronny Jackson on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Mark NawaqanitawaseDemocratic Party | 2.6¢ | 7.0% | , trade Mark Nawaqanitawase on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 3.0¢ | 5% | , trade Mark Nawaqanitawase on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ronny Lynn JacksonRepublican Party | $7,694.37 | No market | |
| Ronny JacksonRepublican Party | $24,842.37 | No market | |
| Mark NawaqanitawaseDemocratic Party | $40,338.65 |