Tallahassee Mayoral Election
Tallahassee voters head to the polls on November 3, 2026, to choose their next mayor. The race features a field that includes candidates such as Jeremy Matlow, Lois Austin, and other contenders vying to lead Florida’s capital city. The winner will shape local policy on housing, public safety, and development as the city continues to grow.
Why Markets Are Watching
Tallahassee’s mayor oversees a city government balancing rapid growth with its role as the seat of Florida’s state government. Local debates over affordability, infrastructure, and economic development make this race consequential for residents beyond typical municipal politics. The outcome will signal how voters in a mid-sized Southern capital weigh incumbency and reform platforms.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The contract reduces a multi-candidate municipal election to a single question: which name will be certified as winner. Traders are effectively weighing name recognition, campaign momentum, and turnout patterns in a nonpartisan local race. Because the field includes several credible contenders, the market isolates how attention and local endorsements translate into electoral support ahead of the vote.
Total Volume
$155.5k
Kalshi $31k · Polymarket $124.5k
Leading Market
Loranne Ausley
Kalshi 74% · Polymarket 75%
Loranne Ausley Volume
$57.1k
Kalshi $11.3k · Polymarket $45.8k
Loranne Ausley 24h Change
+3.00%
Kalshi +3.00% · Polymarket +1.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loranne Ausley | 75.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Loranne Ausley on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 75.0¢ | 5% | , trade Loranne Ausley on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Jeremy Matlow | 27.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Jeremy Matlow on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 26.0¢ | 5% | , trade Jeremy Matlow on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loranne Ausley | $57,133.40 | ||
| Jeremy Matlow | $98,409.43 |