Rhode Island Senate winner?
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Democratic Party (United States) -
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United States Senate -
Rhode Island -
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New England
Total Volume
$593.7k
Kalshi $48.3k · Polymarket $545.4k
Leading Market
Jack Reed
Kalshi 100%
Jack Reed Volume
$20.3k
Kalshi $20.3k
Jack Reed 24h Change
+0.20%
Kalshi +0.20%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack ReedDemocratic Party | 99.6¢ | 7.0% |
|
— | — | — |
| John F. ReedDemocratic Party | — | — | — | 99.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Raymond Tyler MckayRepublican Party | — | — | — | 2.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Raymond McKayRepublican Party | 1.4¢ | 7.0% |
|
— | — | — |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack ReedDemocratic Party | $20,342.92 |
99.8%
Trade on Kalshi
Yes: 99.6¢
Vol: $20.3k
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|
—No market |
| John F. ReedDemocratic Party | $443,309.55 | —No market |
99.0%
Trade on Polymarket
Yes: 99¢
Vol: $443.3k
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|
| Raymond Tyler MckayRepublican Party | $102,076.02 | —No market |
1.5%
Trade on Polymarket
Yes: 2¢
Vol: $102.1k
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|
| Raymond McKayRepublican Party | $27,933.65 |
1.4%
Trade on Kalshi
Yes: 1.4¢
Vol: $27.9k
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|
—No market |
Emerging News
Elections
McKee and Foulkes Set for Rhode Island Democratic Primary Rematch
PN Team • 2 months ago
Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee faces a primary rematch against Helena Foulkes, a former CVS Health executive, in the Sept. 9 Democratic primary. Foulkes has outraised McKee and outspent him on advertising, and polling suggests a competitive race four years after McKee narrowly won their first matchup. A loss would make McKee the first sitting Rhode Island governor to lose a primary in more than three decades.
The campaign has been shadowed by the prolonged, over-budget repair of Providence's Washington Bridge, a major artery connecting Rhode Island to Massachusetts and Cape Cod, which McKee partially closed in 2023 and has pledged to finish by 2028. Foulkes has used the bridge saga to question his leadership, while McKee has attacked her CVS tenure, linking her to the opioid crisis, a charge she disputes. Because Rhode Island leans heavily Democratic, the primary winner is considered the strong favorite in the general election.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Providence, Rhode Island Providence is tied to the troubled, over-budget bridge repair, casting a mildly negative light on the city's infrastructure issues.
- Rhode Island Rhode Island is the setting for a contentious primary and infrastructure controversy, giving it a slightly negative tangential association.
- Cape Cod Mentioned only as a geographic endpoint connected by the bridge, without reputational implications.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned factually as the party holding the primary contest, with no positive or negative framing.
- Massachusetts Referenced as the state connected by the bridge, a neutral geographic detail.
Related Events
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Local & State
Providence Water marks 100 years of Holton Purification Works
PN Team • 1 month ago
Providence Water held a Centennial celebration in Scituate, Rhode Island, marking 100 years of continuous operation at the Philip J. Holton Water Purification Works, which opened Sept. 30, 1926. Officials said the plant remains the largest and most unique of its kind in New England and still functions largely as it did a century ago.
The facility was built after the state voted in 1915 to establish the Scituate reservoir system, which included an earth dam, aqueduct, and the purification plant, in response to a growing urban population straining the Pawtuxet River water supply. The system now delivers 60 million gallons of clean water daily to roughly 600,000 Rhode Island residents.
Speakers at the event included Deputy General Manager David Takoian, Rhode Island Infrastructure Bank Executive Director William Fazioli, Congressman Gabe Amo, and local mayors, who emphasized both the historic engineering achievement and the need for continued investment in the water system's future.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Rhode Island The story highlights a century of reliable water infrastructure serving 600,000 Rhode Island residents, reflecting positively on the state.
- New England The plant is described as the largest and most unique of its kind in New England, a mildly favorable regional distinction.
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Elections
Rhode Island holds primary as Gov. McKee faces strong challenge from Foulkes
PN Team • 2 months ago
Rhode Island voters went to the polls Wednesday in primaries for governor and other federal, state and local offices. Gov. Dan McKee, who ascended to office in 2021 and won a full term in 2022, faces a tough Democratic challenge from Helena Buonanno Foulkes, a former CVS executive who finished a close second in the 2022 primary. Foulkes has outraised and outspent McKee and has led him in independent polling throughout the year, though many voters remained undecided heading into the vote. A loss would make McKee the first elected Rhode Island governor to lose renomination since 1994.
The race has centered on McKee's handling of the Washington Bridge closure and reconstruction, now delayed until 2028, and a 2024 investigation finding he improperly intervened in a state contract award, though no laws were found broken. McKee has attacked Foulkes over CVS's alleged role in the opioid crisis. In the Republican primary, party-endorsed Aaron Guckian faces Elaine Pelino. Rhode Island hasn't elected a Republican governor in 20 years.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Washington (state) The Washington Bridge closure and delayed reconstruction is cited as a major liability for McKee, casting a negative light on the project's management.
- Democratic Party (United States) The Democratic primary is the central event, mentioned factually without reflecting on the party itself.
- Republican Party (United States) The Republican primary is mentioned factually, noting the party hasn't won the governorship in 20 years.
- Rhode Island Rhode Island is the setting of the primary election, described factually without reputational tilt.
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Elections
McKee loses Rhode Island Democratic primary to Foulkes in rare incumbent defeat
PN Team • 2 months ago
Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee lost Wednesday's Democratic gubernatorial primary to former CVS and Hudson's Bay Company executive Helena Foulkes, who won decisively 62.4% to 37.6%, four years after narrowly beating her in a multi-candidate race. McKee, governor since 2021, had faced sustained criticism over his handling of the Washington Bridge closure, a critical Interstate 195 span shut down in 2023 over safety concerns whose replacement has run behind schedule; McKee said construction would finish by 2028, but Foulkes called the project "a poster child for mismanagement." Foulkes has focused her campaign on affordability, pledging to build 20,000 new homes, enact a tenant's bill of rights, and push for a gubernatorial line-item veto. McKee had attacked her record on opioids during her 25-year CVS career, but Foulkes maintained opioid dispersal fell 40% under her leadership. Foulkes is heavily favored in November's general election in the deeply blue state.
McKee is the first elected governor to lose a primary since Hawaii's Neil Abercrombie in 2014, and the first sitting governor overall not renominated since Kansas's Jeff Colyer in 2018. On the Republican side, party-backed Aaron Guckian held a narrow lead over Elaine Pelino, a Trump-aligned former actress, in a race too close to call. Sen. Jack Reed easily won his Democratic primary and will face Republican Raymond McKay in November.
Sentiment
- United States Senate The U.S. Senate is referenced as the body Jack Reed is a member of, described favorably as easily winning his primary.
- Washington (state) The Washington Bridge closure, tied to the state name Washington, is cited as a mismanagement scandal, though this refers to a bridge name rather than Washington state itself.
- Rhode Island Rhode Island is the setting for the political events described, mentioned neutrally throughout.
- Democratic Party (United States) The Democratic Party is referenced factually as the primary in which McKee lost and Reed won.
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Elections
Rhode Island gubernatorial candidates meet for final televised debate
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
The three leading candidates for Rhode Island governor — Democrat Helena Foulkes, Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block — met for a televised debate hosted by 12 News at Rhode Island College, two weeks ahead of the November 3 election. The debate, moderated by Target 12's Tim White and Ted Nesi, was the candidates' last major face-off before voting ends. It followed a 12 News/Emerson College poll showing Foulkes leading with 44% support, Block gaining ground at 35%, and Guckian trailing at 10%, with undecided voters expected to split among the three. Independents Jay Gotra and C Reynolds also appear on the ballot. Early voting began October 14.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Ken Block Described as gaining ground and closing in on the frontrunner, a favorable momentum narrative.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned neutrally as the party affiliation of leading candidate Foulkes, who holds a polling lead.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned as the party of Guckian, who is shown trailing badly in the poll.
- Independent politician Referenced factually as the political status of candidates Block, Gotra, and Reynolds without evaluative framing.
- Rhode Island Mentioned factually as the state holding the gubernatorial election.
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Elections
2026 Rhode Island Governor’s Race Spending Trails Recent Cycles
PN Team • 1 day ago
Candidates in Rhode Island's 2026 governor's race have spent about $9.9 million combined, making it the cheapest contest in inflation-adjusted terms since 2006 and well below the $14.8–$22.2 million range of the last three cycles. Democratic nominee Helena Foulkes accounts for roughly 69% of that spending at about $6.8 million, followed by Gov. Dan McKee, who lost the September primary to her, at nearly $2.6 million. Independent Ken Block and Republican nominee Aaron Guckian have spent far less. Analysts attribute the drop-off to a thin post-primary field, though outside spending by parties and unions is filling some of the gap and rising media costs continue to push overall campaign costs higher.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned as the party of the nominee with highest spending, a factual detail.
- Independent politician Ken Block identified as an independent candidate with minimal spending, purely factual.
- Ken Block Mentioned factually as an independent candidate with low spending.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned as the party of a nominee with low spending, neutral factual reference.
- Rhode Island Setting for the governor's race coverage, described factually without praise or criticism.
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Elections
Rhode Island holds primaries for governor, Providence mayor and other key races
PN Team • 2 months ago
Rhode Island voters headed to the polls to decide primary contests that will shape the state's general election ballot in November. The marquee race is the Democratic gubernatorial primary, where incumbent Dan McKee faced challenger Helena Foulkes, who had been leading in pre-election polling. Republicans chose between Aaron Guckian and Elaine Pelino for their nomination.
Other significant contests included the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor, where Sabina Matos faced four challengers, and the race to succeed term-limited Attorney General Peter Neronha, with four Democrats competing for the nomination. In Providence, Mayor Brett Smiley faced a primary challenge from state Rep. David Morales, a notable test since no sitting Providence mayor has ever lost a primary; a recent poll suggested a close contest. Pawtucket and Woonsocket also held mayoral primaries, alongside various congressional and General Assembly races. Nearly 49,000 voters had already cast ballots early or by mail ahead of polling day. Primary winners advance to the November 3 general election.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Providence, Rhode Island Referenced as the site of a competitive mayoral primary, a neutral factual detail.
- Rhode Island Central location of the primary elections described in a neutral, informational manner.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned factually as the party holding the gubernatorial primary with multiple candidates.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned factually as the party holding its own primary between two candidates.
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Elections
Rhode Island Lt. Governor candidates clash in first debate
PN Team • 1 month ago
Incumbent Democratic Lt. Governor Sabina Matos and Republican challenger John Loughlin met Friday for their first televised debate ahead of Rhode Island's lieutenant governor race, hosted in the WPRI 12 studios in East Providence. The candidates disagreed on most major issues facing the state, including immigration enforcement and cooperation with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, electric rates and energy policy, and grocery store affordability.
A recent University of New Hampshire poll shows the contest is close, with only about four points separating the two candidates. The tight polling and sharp policy contrasts make this race one to watch as it heads toward the general election, with immigration and cost-of-living issues shaping up as central themes for voters.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Democratic Party (United States) Matos's Democratic affiliation is noted factually without favorable or unfavorable framing.
- Republican Party (United States) Loughlin's Republican affiliation is mentioned neutrally as part of the debate description.
- Rhode Island Rhode Island is the setting for the political race, mentioned factually without reputational implication.
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Elections
Guckian calls on Block to exit Rhode Island governor’s race, prompting sharp response
PN Team • 3 weeks ago
Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial candidate Aaron Guckian is calling on independent candidate Ken Block to withdraw from the race, a day after the two candidates and Democrat Helena Foulkes held their first televised debate on NBC 10. Guckian argued Block offered no concrete plans and should "step aside" to let others do "the real work."
Block, who has run for governor twice before, rejected the demand, noting Guckian trails in polling and has limited campaign funds. Block pointed to his own internally commissioned polling showing him beating Foulkes head-to-head, while Foulkes wins comfortably in a three-way race and would defeat Guckian by a wide margin one-on-one. He accused Guckian's campaign of effectively helping Foulkes by splitting the opposition vote.
During Wednesday's debate, Guckian and Block did not clash directly, both criticizing Foulkes' housing plan, opposing truck tolls, and agreeing on transgender sports policy, while differing on ICE operations in the state. Guckian said he would work closely with the Trump administration.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Ken Block Block is shown confidently rejecting Guckian's demand, citing favorable polling data against Foulkes, casting him in a strong position.
- Republican Party (United States) Guckian's Republican affiliation is noted, but his campaign is portrayed as weak and low-polling, giving a mildly negative tint.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned only as the party affiliation of candidate Helena Foulkes, without specific favorable or unfavorable content.
- Independent politician Referenced as Ken Block's political status (independent), a neutral factual descriptor.
- Rhode Island Rhode Island is mentioned only as the location of the gubernatorial race, a neutral geographic reference.
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Elections
Progressive David Morales upsets incumbent Brett Smiley in Providence mayoral primary
PN Team • 2 months ago
State Rep. David Morales, 27, a democratic socialist endorsed by Bernie Sanders and Ro Khanna, defeated incumbent Mayor Brett Smiley, 47, in Providence's Democratic primary by a 53%-48% margin, marking the first time a sitting Providence mayor has lost a primary. Morales is heavily favored over Republican Dave Talan in November and would become the city's youngest-ever mayor if elected. Smiley had touted falling crime and the city's regained control over its schools, while Morales built his campaign around affordable housing, rent stabilization, and other progressive policies like social housing and housing cooperatives.
The race became entangled with Israel-related politics: Smiley, who converted to Judaism in 2024, drew criticism from Morales over his role in a pro-Israel advocacy summit, while Smiley opposed a binding November ballot measure — which Providence voters will decide as the largest U.S. city to do so — that could restrict city investment in companies linked to Israel. Smiley also faced backlash over vetoing a rent-control ordinance Morales supported. Providence's police union has voiced unease about Morales, citing his past calls to defund police and warning of possible officer departures, though Morales says he wants to work with law enforcement. Rhode Island Gov. Daniel McKee also lost his primary the same night.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Bernie Sanders Sanders' endorsement of the winning progressive candidate reflects positively on his political influence.
- Ro Khanna Khanna's endorsement aligns him with the winning candidate's success.
- Providence, Rhode Island Providence is the setting of a notable political upset, a neutral factual reference to the city.
- Democratic Party (United States) The primary is a Democratic Party contest, mentioned factually without clear reputational effect.
- Israel Israel is mentioned in context of a contentious ballot measure and political controversy, without direct reputational judgment.
- United States Providence is noted as the largest U.S. city to vote on such a measure, a neutral national comparison.
- Republican Party (United States) Republican Dave Talan is mentioned only as the general election opponent, a neutral factual reference.
- Rhode Island Rhode Island is referenced as the state context, including the governor's own primary loss, a neutral mention.
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Leading:
98.5%
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Vol $29k
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90.3%
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