New Jersey Senate winner?
Related terms
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Democratic Party (United States) -
Republican Party (United States) -
United States Senate -
New Jersey -
2024 United States Senate elections -
New Jersey Senate
Total Volume
$724.2k
Kalshi $261.8k · Polymarket $462.4k
Leading Market
Cory Booker
Kalshi 98% · Polymarket 99%
Cory Booker Volume
$237.8k
Kalshi $50.2k · Polymarket $187.7k
Cory Booker 24h Change
-1.00%
Kalshi +0.20% · Polymarket -1.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory BookerDemocratic Party | 97.9¢ | 7.0% |
|
99.0¢ | 5% |
|
| Justin MurphyRepublican Party | 2.5¢ | 7.0% |
|
3.0¢ | 5% |
|
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
Emerging News
Elections
New Jersey general election set for November 3, 2026
PN Team • 1 week ago
New Jersey holds its general election on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, with voter registration closed as of October 13 and mail-in ballot requests due by October 27. Polls are open 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. statewide. Top races include the U.S. Senate contest, where Democratic incumbent Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy and several third-party and write-in candidates. All 12 of New Jersey's House seats are also on the ballot, with the 2nd Congressional District drawing particular attention as Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019, defends his seat against Democratic challenger Zack Mullock, mayor of Cape May, and independent Ramon Mora Jr.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Cory Booker Booker is presented neutrally as the Democratic incumbent facing a challenger.
- Jeff Van Drew Van Drew is noted for having switched parties in 2019, a mildly controversial detail amid a competitive re-election bid.
- Democratic Party (United States) Mentioned as the party of Booker and Mullock in a neutral, factual context.
- New Jersey New Jersey is the setting for the election, described factually.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned as the party of Murphy and Van Drew in a neutral factual context.
- United States House of Representatives All House seats are on the ballot, mentioned factually with no evaluative content.
- United States Senate The Senate race is described neutrally as part of the election.
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Elections
Massachusetts holds primary vote in Markey-Moulton Senate showdown
PN Team • 2 months ago
Massachusetts voters headed to the polls Tuesday in a primary highlighted by a competitive Democratic Senate contest between incumbent Sen. Ed Markey, 80, and U.S. Rep. Seth Moulton, 47. The race reverses a familiar dynamic in this year's Democratic primaries, with progressives Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez backing the incumbent over the more moderate challenger. Markey held a large fundraising advantage and led recent polls by double digits; Moulton, a Marine veteran and 2020 presidential candidate, drew support from The Boston Globe's editorial board, New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill, and VoteVets. Moulton has also faced scrutiny over past comments on transgender athletes, which he has since apologized for. The primary winner will face Republican John Deaton in November.
Similar generational clashes played out down-ballot: progressive attorney Patrick Roath, who has spent more than $1 million on his campaign, challenged longtime Rep. Stephen Lynch in the 8th District, while a crowded six-way Democratic field, including Dan Koh and Tram Nguyen, competed to succeed Moulton in the 6th District. Other notable races include a Republican gubernatorial primary between Mike Minogue and Brian Shortsleeve, and contested district attorney races in Norfolk and Suffolk counties. Given the state's heavy Democratic lean, primary winners are strongly favored in November, with results shaping the competitive landscape ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- United States Marine Corps Positively noted as Moulton's military background, lending him a favorable veteran credential.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Portrayed positively as a progressive figure endorsing the incumbent, aligning her with the progressive movement's stance.
- Bernie Sanders Portrayed positively as a prominent progressive backing Markey.
- Elizabeth Warren Noted positively as a progressive senator supporting the incumbent.
- Democratic Party (United States) The article describes competitive Democratic primaries without clear favorable or unfavorable framing of the party itself.
- Republican Party (United States) Mentioned only factually as the general-election opponent's party via John Deaton.
- Massachusetts Referenced factually as the state holding the primary election.
- New Jersey Referenced factually as the state governed by Mikie Sherrill, who is mentioned as an endorser.
- United States Congress Referenced factually as the body these candidates seek to join.
- United States House of Representatives Referenced factually as the chamber where Moulton and Lynch currently serve.
- United States Senate Referenced factually as the seat being contested in the primary.
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Elections
RNC Sues New Jersey Officials Over Noncitizen Voter Roll Data
PN Team • 1 month ago
The Republican National Committee has filed a federal lawsuit against New Jersey election officials, including Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell and the secretary of state, seeking data on noncitizens registered to vote. State officials have acknowledged roughly 6,600 noncitizen registrations, though the Trump administration estimates the true figure could be 35,000 or higher. Rep. Tom Kean has filed a separate suit as a New Jersey constituent.
Gov. Mikie Sherrill has refused to turn over voter data to federal officials, citing privacy concerns for state residents. A spokesman for Sherrill said Republicans have made similar requests in other states more than twenty times without success in court. The RNC had asked New Jersey to explain by September how noncitizens were added to voter rolls, what removal efforts are underway, and who is responsible for oversight. The dispute comes as both parties intensify efforts around voter roll accuracy and election administration ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Republican Party (United States) The Republican Party is depicted as intensifying efforts on voter roll accuracy, a mild and balanced characterization.
- New Jersey New Jersey is mentioned factually as the site of the voter roll dispute without direct reputational judgment.
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Elections
Bay Head voter eligibility fight erupts at Ocean County election board meeting
PN Team • 2 weeks ago
A New Jersey Superior Court judge cleared the way Tuesday for the Ocean County Board of Elections to continue inquiries into the voting eligibility of dozens of Bay Head residents, denying an emergency injunction sought by the ACLU of New Jersey on behalf of the League of Women Voters. The plaintiffs argued the challenge process, aimed at registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters whose tax bills are mailed out of town, amounted to a politically motivated purge during the pre-election quiet period. The board countered that it is simply fulfilling its duty to verify domicile status.
A tense public meeting followed the ruling, with the evenly split board's Republican chairman George Gilmore and Democratic secretary Wyatt Earp clashing over a list of 39 flagged voters submitted by a local GOP official that included no Republicans. Several voters have already been removed or asked to be removed from the rolls. Gilmore drew sharp backlash, including for a joking remark about immigration enforcement being "on call" at the polls. The ACLU and League of Women Voters are weighing an appeal.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Republican Party (United States) The Republican-led board and a GOP official are implicated in a one-sided challenge list targeting no Republicans, suggesting partisan bias.
- Ocean County, New Jersey The Ocean County Board of Elections is at the center of a controversial, politically charged voter purge effort.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democratic voters are depicted as the targets of a challenge process described by plaintiffs as a politically motivated purge, casting the party in a sympathetic but embattled light.
- New Jersey New Jersey is mentioned as the state context for the legal and electoral dispute, a neutral geographic reference.
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Elections
New Jersey Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell resigns amid ethics investigation findings
PN Team • 4 weeks ago
New Jersey Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell resigned last week after an independent investigation, led by former state Attorney General Christopher Porrino, substantiated multiple allegations of harassment and ethics violations. Gov. Mikie Sherrill said the probe found "a pattern of behavior that does not meet the standards of this administration." Findings included inappropriate remarks toward young women, pushing for the promotion of a romantic partner in another state department without disclosure, and bringing nonpaying personal guests to official ticketed events. Caldwell, who also served as the state's chief elections official, continues to deny the allegations but stepped down nonetheless.
Caldwell was Sherrill's own running mate, chosen less than a year ago, making her swift response notable in a state with a long history of tolerated official misconduct. Sherrill said she would name a new lieutenant governor within 45 days, a decision with added significance given the upcoming midterm election and election-security concerns.
Sources:
Sentiment
- New Jersey New Jersey is referenced mainly in the context of a political scandal and a history of tolerated official misconduct.
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Local & State
New Jersey Lt. Gov. Caldwell resigns amid sexual harassment findings
PN Team • 1 month ago
New Jersey Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell resigned Friday, a day after Gov. Mikie Sherrill released a 61-page report from a four-month investigation, led by former Attorney General Christopher Porrino's law firm, substantiating findings of sexual harassment and repeated ethics violations. Investigators found credible evidence that Caldwell made an unwanted romantic advance toward a staffer's friend, sought a promotion for a state employee he was secretly dating, and brought unpaid guests to ticketed events despite prior warnings. Sherrill said the episode reflected a longstanding Trenton culture of overlooking sexual harassment that her administration would no longer tolerate.
Caldwell, who is Black, suggested race played a role in the allegations and disputes the report's findings, saying he resigned to avoid distracting from Sherrill's administration; days later he preached at his church about false accusations. Acting Comptroller Shirley Emehelu now oversees the Division of Elections ahead of the midterms, while Senate President Nicholas Scutari serves as acting governor when needed. Sherrill has 45 days to name a permanent replacement, with reports suggesting she may favor another Black leader, possibly a woman, for the role.
Sources:
Sentiment
- Trenton, New Jersey Trenton is cited as the site of a longstanding culture of tolerating sexual harassment among officials.
- New Jersey The state's government is depicted as having a longstanding culture of overlooking sexual harassment among officials.
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Local & State
New Jersey Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell under investigation over alleged misconduct toward women
PN Team • 2 months ago
New Jersey Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell is facing an internal investigation launched by Gov. Mikie Sherrill's administration over allegations he behaved inappropriately toward women, according to multiple reports. Former state Attorney General Christopher Porrino of Lowenstein Sandler is leading the probe alongside partner Shontae Gray, a former assistant U.S. attorney; the inquiry reportedly began with an anonymous tip in late spring and has included interviews with state employee complainants and witnesses. Investigators are also examining possible ethics violations, including allegations Caldwell offered a state job.
Sherrill's office declined to confirm the inquiry but said any reports of misconduct would be taken seriously. Caldwell, a 66-year-old pastor and former Centenary University president who was sworn in alongside Sherrill in January, is cooperating with the investigation and continuing his public duties, including recently serving as acting governor for three days. New Jersey Republican Party Chairwoman Christine Giordano Hanlon and other GOP officials have called for him to step aside or be placed on unpaid leave, questioning how many complaints were filed and why disclosure was delayed. The episode compounds political pressure on Sherrill, a first-term Democrat viewed as a rising national figure, amid separate scrutiny over noncitizens erroneously added to voter rolls.
Sentiment
- New Jersey New Jersey is the setting of the political controversy, mentioned factually.
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Local & State
New Jersey Governor Calls for Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell’s Resignation Over Harassment Findings
PN Team • 1 month ago
Gov. Mikie Sherrill called on Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell to resign by Friday after an independent investigation found he engaged in sexual harassment and violated state ethics rules. The 61-page report, led by former state Attorney General Christopher Porrino, concluded that Caldwell twice sought a state job promotion for his girlfriend, made a sexually charged comment to a staff member, and ignored repeated warnings about his conduct.
The probe began in May after Sherrill's office received an anonymous letter alleging inappropriate behavior by Caldwell, a former president of Centenary University. Caldwell has denied the allegations through his attorney, Thomas Calcagni, who called the investigation one-sided and lacking due process; Caldwell has suggested race and gender bias played a role, as he is Black. Sen. Cory Booker and other Democrats have backed Sherrill's call for resignation. Caldwell has given no indication he intends to step down, raising the possibility of a prolonged standoff with the governor over New Jersey's second-highest office.
Sources:
Sentiment
- New Jersey New Jersey is the setting for a political scandal involving its lieutenant governor, a mild negative association.
- Cory Booker Booker is mentioned briefly as supporting Sherrill's call, a neutral factual reference.
- Democratic Party (United States) Democrats are noted as backing the resignation call, a minor tangential mention.
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Local & State
New Jersey Governor Sherrill Calls for Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell’s Resignation After Harassment Findings
PN Team • 1 month ago
An investigation commissioned by New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill found that Lt. Gov. Dale Caldwell engaged in conduct constituting sexual harassment and violated state ethics rules. The 61-page report, released Thursday, concluded Caldwell told a female staffer that "you young women are looking for young sperm" after she said a younger friend was not interested in him — a remark investigators deemed harassment and found his denial not credible. The staffer said she later tried to distance herself from him at work. The report also substantiated ethics violations: Caldwell twice sought a promotion for his girlfriend without disclosing the relationship, continuing even after being notified of the investigation, and brought nonpaying guests to seven official events despite repeated warnings and training.
The inquiry began in May after an anonymous complaint to the state's ethics officer. Attorney Christopher Porrino and former prosecutor Shontae Gray led the investigation, interviewing at least 17 people. Caldwell has denied wrongdoing, calling the allegations false and politically motivated. Sherrill gave him until Friday to resign, calling the findings "extremely troubling" and citing a pattern of behavior. Caldwell oversees the Department of State and elections, including the upcoming November midterms.
Sources:
Sentiment
- New Jersey New Jersey is mentioned as the state setting for the political controversy without direct reputational impact.
- State governments of the United States State government is referenced neutrally as the entity overseeing ethics rules and the investigation.
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Local & State
Lakewood’s Decades-Long Land Giveaway to BMG Draws Scrutiny
PN Team • 3 days ago
Since 2001, Lakewood Township has transferred 220 acres of public land near the Jersey Shore BlueClaws stadium at no cost to a development arm of Beth Medrash Govoha (BMG), a large Orthodox Jewish yeshiva. The entity, Cedarbridge Development, has resold the land to builders for nearly $70 million, while developers have saved over $8.6 million through local tax breaks (PILOTs) since 2018. A 2010 lawsuit challenging the deal as unconstitutional was dismissed. Constitutional experts say the arrangement may violate the state constitution's "gift clause" barring giveaways of public property without clear public benefit.
The New Jersey State Commission of Investigation is now examining similar municipal land deals involving PILOT tax breaks statewide, without confirming whether Lakewood is a specific target. The scrutiny comes as Lakewood faces a budget shortfall, a hiring freeze, and warnings of 2027 layoffs.
Sources:
Sentiment
- New Jersey The state's constitution and investigative commission are cited in scrutinizing the land-giveaway practice statewide.
- Ocean County, New Jersey Named as the county location of the township involved in the land deal controversy.
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