Colorado’s 5th Congressional District House Race 2026
Colorado’s 5th Congressional District, anchored in Colorado Springs and El Paso County, holds its 2026 House election this fall. The seat has long leaned Republican, reflecting the area’s strong military and conservative base. Candidates from both major parties are expected to compete, with the general election outcome to be decided in November 2026.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the House often hinges on a handful of competitive or historically stable districts, and CO-05 factors into the broader map of GOP-held seats. A shift in this district would signal changing dynamics in a traditionally Republican stronghold. The result also affects Colorado’s congressional delegation balance heading into the next legislative session.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The core question traders face is which party ultimately wins the seat, reducing a multi-candidate primary and general election process into a binary partisan outcome. Individual candidate contracts let participants isolate the chance a specific nominee prevails before the field narrows. Together these markets translate a district-level contest into a distilled measure of expected partisan control.
Related terms
Total Volume
$256k
Kalshi $221.5k · Polymarket $34.5k
Leading Market
Jeff Crank
Kalshi 57% · Polymarket 59%
Jeff Crank Volume
$123k
Kalshi $98.9k · Polymarket $24.1k
Jeff Crank 24h Change
+1.00%
Kalshi +1.00% · Polymarket -1.00%
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff CrankRepublican Party | 57.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Jeff Crank on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 59.0¢ | 5% | , trade Jeff Crank on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Jessica WilliamsDemocratic Party | 44.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade Jessica Williams on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 43.0¢ | 5% | , trade Jessica Williams on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff CrankRepublican Party | $122,954.85 | ||
| Jessica WilliamsDemocratic Party | $132,998.01 |