Vikki Goodwin

Texas voters head to the polls with Republicans defending longtime dominance amid Democratic hopes fueled by opposition to President Trump. The marquee race pits Democratic state Rep. James Talarico against Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton for U.S. Senate, with control implications for Trump's final two years. Gov. Greg Abbott faces an unexpectedly close challenge from state Rep. Gina Hinojosa despite a fundraising edge. Down-ballot, polling shows tight margins for lieutenant governor, attorney general, comptroller, and a Railroad Commission seat. Democrats must flip 14 Texas House seats and four Senate seats for majorities. No Democrat has won statewide in Texas since 1994. Early voting runs through October 30.

Texas's 2026 elections feature unexpectedly competitive statewide races, a rarity in a state no Democrat has won statewide since 1994. The marquee contest pits state Rep. James Talarico against Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton for U.S. Senate, with control of the chamber and the final two years of President Trump's term potentially at stake. Gov. Greg Abbott faces a tighter-than-expected challenge from state Rep. Gina Hinojosa despite a large fundraising edge. A recent University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll showed Democrat Vikki Goodwin narrowly ahead of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and Nathan Johnson slightly leading Mayes Middleton for attorney general, with all surveyed races within the margin of error. Republicans' new congressional redistricting plan will also be tested.

Texas Democrats are testing whether anti-Trump sentiment can break the GOP's decades-long statewide winning streak, with no Democrat having won statewide office since 1994. The marquee race pits Democratic state Rep. James Talarico against Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton for a U.S. Senate seat that could affect the chamber's balance. Gov. Greg Abbott faces an unexpectedly close challenge from state Rep. Gina Hinojosa despite a large fundraising edge. A University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll found several other statewide races within the margin of error, including lieutenant governor, attorney general, comptroller, and a Railroad Commission seat. The elections will also test a Republican plan to redraw five Democratic U.S. House districts.

Early voting for the November election opened in Travis County, Texas, running Oct. 19-30 ahead of Election Day on Nov. 3. Election officials are preparing polling sites as local party leaders and advocacy groups report strong voter interest. The League of Women Voters emphasized the impact of local races, while the Travis County Democratic Party cited record voter registration and primary turnout. State Rep. Vikki Goodwin, a Democratic candidate for lieutenant governor, said voters appear more engaged than in recent cycles, while the Travis County GOP said it sees no major shift in Texan voter sentiment. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ken Paxton also received an endorsement from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

Elsewhere, early voting also began this week in Florida counties like Seminole, where officials expect strong turnout ahead of races for governor, U.S. Senate, and congressional seats, along with statewide ballot measures.

A University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll of 1,200 registered Texas voters, conducted Sept. 25-Oct. 5, shows several statewide races within the margin of error ahead of Election Day. Democrat James Talarico led Republican Ken Paxton 50%-47% in the U.S. Senate race. In the governor's race, Democrat Gina Hinojosa led Republican Gov. Greg Abbott 49%-48%. Democrat Vikki Goodwin led Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick 49%-46%, and Democrats also held narrow leads in the attorney general and railroad commissioner races, while Republican Don Huffines narrowly led in the comptroller contest.

Inflation and the economy remained voters' top concerns, cited by 21% as Texas's biggest problem, ahead of political corruption/leadership (15%) and the economy generally (10%). President Trump's favorability in Texas stood at 42% favorable versus 50% unfavorable. Abbott's job approval was 44% approve/45% disapprove; Paxton stood at 35%/46%; Patrick at 33%/39%. All results carry margins of error of roughly 2.8-3.3 percentage points.

Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick posted an AI-generated campaign ad featuring imagery and traditions from the University of Texas, Texas A&M and Texas Tech, prompting questions over whether he had permission to use their trademarked names and symbols. The 50-second ad, shared to X on September 5, depicts Democratic candidates Vikki Goodwin, Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico in mocking scenarios set at simulated football games featuring each school's mascots and traditions. UT, Texas A&M and Texas Tech all restrict use of their trademarks in political advertising, and state law bars universities from using resources to support candidates. Officials from the three schools have not confirmed whether they authorized the ad's use of their branding, though a state lawmaker has asked the presidents to clarify. Patrick's campaign has not said whether it sought permission or disclosed the ad as AI-generated.

The episode highlights gaps in Texas's deepfake election law, which only applies within 30 days of an election and requires proving intent to deceive — a threshold experts say is difficult to meet and easily circumvented by early ad releases.

Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick posted an apparent AI-generated campaign ad featuring imagery and traditions from the University of Texas, Texas A&M and Texas Tech to mock his Democratic opponents ahead of November's election. The 50-second ad, shared to X on Sept. 5, depicts Democratic lieutenant governor candidate Vikki Goodwin proposing new taxes at a simulated UT game, portrays Gina Hinojosa questioning Texas Tech fans' gun rights gestures, and shows U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico criticizing Texas A&M's "12th Man" tradition as "gendered." The ad had drawn over 907,000 views as of Friday.

All three universities restrict outside use of their trademarks, particularly in political contexts, and none confirmed to reporters whether Patrick had permission or whether the ad violated state rules barring public universities from supporting candidates. State Rep. Terry Canales has asked the schools to seek the ad's removal if unauthorized; only Texas A&M has responded so far. Patrick's campaign has not said whether it sought approval. Texas's existing deepfake law, which requires proving intent to deceive, only applies within 30 days of an election, leaving this ad unregulated. Goodwin has accused Patrick of using AI to misrepresent her.