Elections
Washington’s 2nd District House Race 2026
Washington’s 2nd Congressional District, anchored by Whatcom, Skagit, and Snohomish counties in the northwest corner of the state, holds its House election in November 2026. The seat has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, but midterm turnout patterns and candidate matchups can shift district-level outcomes. Voters will choose a representative to serve a two-year term in the U.S. House.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the House often comes down to a handful of competitive districts, and how WA-02 behaves can signal broader regional trends in the Pacific Northwest. Local issues like trade, agriculture, and suburban growth shape voter priorities here. The result will help determine the partisan balance of Washington’s congressional delegation.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The core question traders face is which party, or specific candidate, ultimately wins the district’s House seat. Separate contracts isolate individual candidates against the broader party-level outcome, letting participants express views on primary dynamics as well as the general election. This structure captures both who emerges from a crowded field and how that person fares against the opposing party’s nominee.
Related terms
Total Volume
$36.2k
Kalshi $1.7k · Polymarket $34.6k
Leading Market
Rick Larsen
Kalshi 97% · Polymarket 96%
Rick Larsen Volume
$17.5k
Kalshi $1.2k · Polymarket $16.3k
Rick Larsen 24h Change
-3.00%
Kalshi -1.00% · Polymarket -3.00%
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Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick LarsenDemocratic Party | 97.8¢ | 7.0% | , trade Rick Larsen on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 96.0¢ | 5% | , trade Rick Larsen on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Edwin H. FellerRepublican Party | 4.6¢ | 7.0% | , trade Edwin H. Feller on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 3.0¢ | 5% | , trade Edwin H. Feller on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rick LarsenDemocratic Party | $17,495.40 | ||
| Edwin H. FellerRepublican Party | $18,728.05 |