Georgia’s 1st Congressional District House Race 2026
Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, covering Savannah and the coastal southeast corner of the state, holds its House election on November 3, 2026. The seat has been a reliable Republican hold in recent cycles, but open-seat dynamics and candidate quality can shift turnout in coastal and suburban precincts. Primary contests ahead of the general will shape which candidates ultimately compete for the seat.
Why Markets Are Watching
Control of the House majority often comes down to a small number of competitive or marginally safe districts like GA-01. Coastal Georgia’s mix of military, port, and tourism economies makes the district a useful bellwether for broader regional political trends. The outcome will factor into the national tally determining which party sets the House agenda for 2027-2028.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Race
The contract reduces a multi-candidate campaign into a binary question: will the Democratic or Republican nominee win GA-01? That framing isolates partisan control of the seat from other storylines like margin of victory or turnout levels. Traders effectively weigh district partisan lean against candidate strength and any late shifts in national political sentiment heading into Election Day.
Related terms
Total Volume
$94.5k
Kalshi $84.2k · Polymarket $10.4k
Leading Market
James "Jim" Kingston
Polymarket 93%
James "Jim" Kingston Volume
$5.3k
Polymarket $5.3k
Calculate Your Potential Return
- Kalshi(opens in a new tab) 7.0% fee
- Polymarket(opens in a new tab) 5.0% fee
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James "Jim" KingstonRepublican Party | — | — | — | 93.0¢ | 5% | , trade James "Jim" Kingston on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
| Jim KingstonRepublican Party | 92.1¢ | 7.0% | , trade Jim Kingston on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| Amanda HollowellDemocratic Party | 8.8¢ | 7.0% | , trade Amanda Hollowell on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | 9.0¢ | 5% | , trade Amanda Hollowell on Polymarket (opens in a new tab) |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| James "Jim" KingstonRepublican Party | $5,298.43 | No market | |
| Jim KingstonRepublican Party | $69,332.18 | No market | |
| Amanda HollowellDemocratic Party | $19,919.00 |