January 6 United States Capitol attack

With polls suggesting Ken Paxton could lose Texas's U.S. Senate race, Democratic advocates and local officials fear Paxton and the Trump administration might use federal or state power to disrupt voting in Harris County, a Democratic stronghold. Concerns include possible ICE presence near polling places, National Guard involvement, or baseless fraud claims used to contest results, echoing past Trump-era efforts in Georgia, California and Alaska.

Harris County Clerk Teneshia Hudspeth says her office has trained staff, secured legal authority to respond to litigation, and increased transparency through livestreamed ballot counting. Democratic Party officials, elected Democrats, and nonpartisan election experts say safeguards and bipartisan oversight make the county's election process resilient to interference or unfounded fraud claims.

Louisiana heads into Nov. 3 elections for one U.S. Senate seat and several House seats under unusual circumstances. The U.S. Supreme Court's June 29 ruling in Callais v. Louisiana, which found the state's 6th Congressional District unconstitutionally gerrymandered, forced Gov. Jeff Landry to order a new open primary even after some ballots had already been cast, confusing voters about district lines. The Senate race to succeed Bill Cassidy, between Rep. Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis, will be decided outright since a May primary already occurred; Cassidy was eliminated after being targeted by state Republicans over his impeachment vote. House races featuring incumbents are expected to avoid runoffs, but open seats in the 5th and 6th Districts likely head to a December runoff. Early voting has surged, particularly among Black voters.

Ahead of the Nov. 3 election, Democratic candidates hold a modest edge in recent public polling for Ohio's U.S. Senate and governor's races, and prediction markets including Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt show them similarly favored. News outlets are tracking these markets alongside polling as part of growing interest in their use for forecasting election outcomes.

Prediction markets are also drawing regulatory attention in Ohio: Attorney General Andy Wilson is leading a 39-state coalition asking the U.S. Supreme Court to clarify whether sports-related prediction markets should be regulated as state sports betting or as federally regulated financial contracts. A federal appeals panel recently backed Ohio regulators seeking to fine Kalshi $5 million for operating as an unlicensed sportsbook, though other courts have ruled in favor of prediction-market operators.

Other developments in the race include Sen. Bernie Moreno's FCC complaint against ABC News over a corrected story involving defense contractor Anduril, questions about a pro-Greg Levy ad possibly tied to Republicans, and Sherrod Brown ruling out support for impeaching President Trump if elected.

Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty is defending her seat in Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, which covers most of Columbus, against Republican challenger Cleophus Dulaney in the November 3 election. Beatty, 76, has held the seat since 2012, serves on the House Financial Services Committee, and is campaigning on affordable housing, civil rights, education and the economy.

Dulaney, 66, a local business owner who previously lost a 2020 primary bid for the seat, was arrested by the FBI in 2024 in connection with the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot, facing charges including assaulting a police officer. He received clemency from President Trump on his first day in office as part of a mass pardon covering roughly 1,600 people tied to the attack. Dulaney describes his participation as peaceful protest and says he is running on cost-of-living, immigration and housing issues, though he lacks the Franklin County GOP's endorsement. Notably, records show Dulaney actually resides just outside the district he seeks to represent, while Beatty lives within its boundaries.