Elections

Texas Governor margin of victory

Total Volume

$45k

Kalshi $43.9k · Polymarket $1.1k

Leading Market

Democrat 6-9%

Polymarket 39%

Democrat 6-9% Volume

$0.00

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Market	Kalshi Yes	Kalshi Fee	Kalshi Payout	Polymarket Yes	Polymarket Fee	Polymarket Payout
Democrat 6-9%	—	—	—	39.0¢	5%	, trade Democrat 6-9% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 9%+	—	—	—	39.0¢	5%	, trade Democrat 9%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 3-6%	—	—	—	39.0¢	5%	, trade Republican 3-6% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 18%+	—	—	—	38.0¢	5%	, trade Republican 18%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 9-12%	—	—	—	37.0¢	5%	, trade Republican 9-12% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.

All Markets

Market	Total Volume	Kalshi(opens in a new tab)	Polymarket(opens in a new tab)
Democrat 6-9%	$0.00	No market	39.0% Yes: 39¢ — , trade Democrat 6-9% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 9%+	$0.00	No market	39.0% Yes: 39¢ — , trade Democrat 9%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 3-6%	$20.00	No market	39.0% Yes: 39¢ Vol: $20.00 , trade Republican 3-6% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 18%+	$50.18	No market	38.0% Yes: 38¢ Vol: $50.18 , trade Republican 18%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 9-12%	$0.00	No market	37.0% Yes: 37¢ — , trade Republican 9-12% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Hinojosa, 1+ pts	$3,355.51	27.0% Yes: 26¢ Vol: $3.4k , trade Hinojosa, 1+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Republican 12-15%	$0.00	No market	25.0% Yes: 25¢ — , trade Republican 12-15% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Hinojosa, 2+ pts	$4,541.69	18.0% Yes: 25¢ Vol: $4.5k , trade Hinojosa, 2+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinojosa, 3+ pts	$30,138.47	14.0% Yes: 14.0¢ Vol: $30.1k , trade Hinojosa, 3+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinojosa, 4+ pts	$3,456.05	10.0% Yes: 10¢ Vol: $3.5k , trade Hinojosa, 4+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinojosa, 5+ pts	$2,116.99	4.9% Yes: 11¢ Vol: $2.1k , trade Hinojosa, 5+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Republican 0-3%	$20.00	No market	4.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $20.00 , trade Republican 0-3% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 6-9%	$405.14	No market	4.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $405.14 , trade Republican 6-9% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 0-3%	$0.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ — , trade Democrat 0-3% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 3-6%	$450.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $450.00 , trade Democrat 3-6% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 15-18%	$106.09	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $106.09 , trade Republican 15-18% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Hinojosa, 7+ pts	$330.32	2.1% Yes: 7.3¢ Vol: $330.32 , trade Hinojosa, 7+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinojosa, 6+ pts	$0.00	0.0% Yes: 7.9¢ — , trade Hinojosa, 6+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market