Elections
How Many Republican Governors Will There Be After the 2026 Midterms
Governors in 36 states are up for election in the November 2026 midterms, with Republicans currently holding 27 governorships nationwide. Several of those seats, including open races in states without incumbents running again, will determine whether the GOP’s current majority among state executives grows, shrinks, or holds steady. The outcome will shape the partisan map of statehouses heading into the next presidential cycle.
Why Markets Are Watching
Governors control redistricting input, veto power, and emergency authority, making these races consequential well beyond state borders. A strong GOP showing would reinforce the party’s grip on state-level policy from abortion to election administration, while losses could signal a broader midterm backlash against the sitting president’s party. The results will also shape the bench of future national candidates.
How Prediction Markets Frame the Outcome
This question isolates a single number: the total count of Republican governors once all 2026 races are decided. Rather than tracking each contest individually, it compresses dozens of state-level outcomes into one aggregate figure, forcing a view on net partisan swing rather than any single race. Traders are effectively weighing historical midterm patterns against state-specific competitiveness to settle on where that total lands.
Related terms
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Republican Party (United States) -
Redistricting -
Governor (United States) -
United States midterm election
Total Volume
$215.5k
Kalshi $15.4k · Polymarket $200.1k
Leading Market
At least 20
Kalshi 82%
At least 20 Volume
$708.17
Kalshi $708.17
At least 20 24h Change
-9.00%
Kalshi -9.00%
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Calculate Your Potential Return
| Market | Kalshi Yes | Kalshi Fee | Kalshi Payout | Polymarket Yes | Polymarket Fee | Polymarket Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20 | 88.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade At least 20 on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| At least 21 | 78.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade At least 21 on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| At least 22 | 57.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade At least 22 on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| At least 23 | 52.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade At least 23 on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
| At least 24 | 28.0¢ | 7.0% | , trade At least 24 on Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | — | — | — |
* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.
All Markets
| Market | Total Volume | Kalshi(opens in a new tab) | Polymarket(opens in a new tab) |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20 | $708.17 | No market | |
| At least 21 | $2,321.68 | No market | |
| At least 22 | $4,066.35 | No market | |
| At least 23 | $1,797.56 | No market | |
| At least 24 | $2,291.14 | No market |