Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

Total Volume

$17.9k

Kalshi $7.9k · Polymarket $9.9k

Leading Market

Markey, 23+ pts

Kalshi 93%

Markey, 23+ pts Volume

$404.00

Kalshi $404.00

Markey, 23+ pts 24h Change

+10.00%

Kalshi +10.00%

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Market	Kalshi Yes	Kalshi Fee	Kalshi Payout	Polymarket Yes	Polymarket Fee	Polymarket Payout
Markey, 23+ pts	93.0¢	7.0%	, trade Markey, 23+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Markey, 21+ pts	97.4¢	7.0%	, trade Markey, 21+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Markey, 25+ pts	87.0¢	7.0%	, trade Markey, 25+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Markey, 27+ pts	80.0¢	7.0%	, trade Markey, 27+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Markey, 29+ pts	71.0¢	7.0%	, trade Markey, 29+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—

* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.

All Markets

Market	Total Volume	Kalshi(opens in a new tab)	Polymarket(opens in a new tab)
Markey, 23+ pts	$404.00	93.0% Yes: 93¢ Vol: $404.00 , trade Markey, 23+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 21+ pts	$52.78	89.0% Yes: 97.4¢ Vol: $52.78 , trade Markey, 21+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 25+ pts	$205.00	77.0% Yes: 87¢ Vol: $205.00 , trade Markey, 25+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 27+ pts	$400.00	59.0% Yes: 80¢ Vol: $400.00 , trade Markey, 27+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 29+ pts	$405.00	56.0% Yes: 71¢ Vol: $405.00 , trade Markey, 29+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 31+ pts	$1,510.95	56.0% Yes: 60¢ Vol: $1.5k , trade Markey, 31+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 33+ pts	$1,890.60	34.0% Yes: 50¢ Vol: $1.9k , trade Markey, 33+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 35+ pts	$549.01	29.0% Yes: 40¢ Vol: $549.01 , trade Markey, 35+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 30-35%	$3,626.00	No market	23.5% Yes: 24¢ Vol: $3.6k , trade Democrat 30-35% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Markey, 37+ pts	$430.00	15.0% Yes: 31¢ Vol: $430.00 , trade Markey, 37+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 35-40%	$3,291.10	No market	13.5% Yes: 14.0¢ Vol: $3.3k , trade Democrat 35-40% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 20-25%	$2,092.68	No market	13.0% Yes: 13¢ Vol: $2.1k , trade Democrat 20-25% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Markey, 41+ pts	$1,441.00	12.0% Yes: 19¢ Vol: $1.4k , trade Markey, 41+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Markey, 43+ pts	$661.00	7.5% Yes: 12¢ Vol: $661.00 , trade Markey, 43+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 50%+	$66.00	No market	4.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $66.00 , trade Democrat 50%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 10-20%	$64.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $64.00 , trade Democrat 10-20% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 25-30%	$74.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $74.00 , trade Democrat 25-30% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 40-45%	$72.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $72.00 , trade Democrat 40-45% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 45-50%	$74.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $74.00 , trade Democrat 45-50% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican Wins	$78.00	No market	1.5% Yes: 2¢ Vol: $78.00 , trade Republican Wins on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 0-10%	$479.00	No market	1.0% Yes: 1¢ Vol: $479.00 , trade Democrat 0-10% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Markey, 39+ pts	$0.00	0.0% Yes: 24¢ — , trade Markey, 39+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market

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