Elections

Maryland Governor margin of victory

Total Volume

$4.7k

Kalshi $2.2k · Polymarket $2.5k

Leading Market

Moore, 21+ pts

Kalshi 79%

Moore, 21+ pts Volume

$62.00

Kalshi $62.00

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Market	Kalshi Yes	Kalshi Fee	Kalshi Payout	Polymarket Yes	Polymarket Fee	Polymarket Payout
Moore, 21+ pts	96.5¢	7.0%	, trade Moore, 21+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Moore, 24+ pts	90.1¢	7.0%	, trade Moore, 24+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Moore, 27+ pts	80.0¢	7.0%	, trade Moore, 27+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Moore, 30+ pts	59.0¢	7.0%	, trade Moore, 30+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Moore, 33+ pts	51.0¢	7.0%	, trade Moore, 33+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—

* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.

All Markets

Market	Total Volume	Kalshi(opens in a new tab)	Polymarket(opens in a new tab)
Moore, 21+ pts	$62.00	79.0% Yes: 96.5¢ Vol: $62.00 , trade Moore, 21+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Moore, 24+ pts	$402.14	79.0% Yes: 90.1¢ Vol: $402.14 , trade Moore, 24+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Moore, 27+ pts	$63.19	78.0% Yes: 80¢ Vol: $63.19 , trade Moore, 27+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Moore, 30+ pts	$679.05	59.0% Yes: 59¢ Vol: $679.05 , trade Moore, 30+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Moore, 33+ pts	$113.92	49.0% Yes: 51¢ Vol: $113.92 , trade Moore, 33+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 30-35%	$167.14	No market	37.0% Yes: 37¢ Vol: $167.14 , trade Democrat 30-35% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Moore, 36+ pts	$473.02	25.0% Yes: 36¢ Vol: $473.02 , trade Moore, 36+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 20-25%	$37.06	No market	20.5% Yes: 21¢ Vol: $37.06 , trade Democrat 20-25% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Moore, 39+ pts	$343.00	18.0% Yes: 23¢ Vol: $343.00 , trade Moore, 39+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Moore, 42+ pts	$40.00	8.7% Yes: 14.0¢ Vol: $40.00 , trade Moore, 42+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 25-30%	$231.86	No market	5.5% Yes: 6¢ Vol: $231.86 , trade Democrat 25-30% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 0-10%	$1,044.18	No market	3.5% Yes: 5¢ Vol: $1k , trade Democrat 0-10% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 35-40%	$36.12	No market	3.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $36.12 , trade Democrat 35-40% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 40-45%	$853.42	No market	3.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $853.42 , trade Democrat 40-45% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 10-20%	$32.12	No market	3.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $32.12 , trade Democrat 10-20% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 45-50%	$37.18	No market	3.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $37.18 , trade Democrat 45-50% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 50%+	$32.18	No market	3.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $32.18 , trade Democrat 50%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican Wins	$36.06	No market	2.0% Yes: 3¢ Vol: $36.06 , trade Republican Wins on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Moore, 18+ pts	$0.00	0.0% Yes: 97.7¢ — , trade Moore, 18+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market