Iowa Senate margin of victory | The Prediction Network

Total Volume

$57.1k

Kalshi $55.2k · Polymarket $1.8k

Leading Market

Hinson, 1+ pts

Kalshi 51%

Hinson, 1+ pts Volume

$3.3k

Kalshi $3.3k

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Market	Kalshi Yes	Kalshi Fee	Kalshi Payout	Polymarket Yes	Polymarket Fee	Polymarket Payout
Hinson, 1+ pts	52.0¢	7.0%	, trade Hinson, 1+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Hinson, 2+ pts	44.0¢	7.0%	, trade Hinson, 2+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Hinson, 3+ pts	36.0¢	7.0%	, trade Hinson, 3+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Democrat 6-9%	—	—	—	35.0¢	5%	, trade Democrat 6-9% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 9-12%	—	—	—	33.0¢	5%	, trade Republican 9-12% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.

All Markets

Market	Total Volume	Kalshi(opens in a new tab)	Polymarket(opens in a new tab)
Hinson, 1+ pts	$3,321.18	51.0% Yes: 52¢ Vol: $3.3k , trade Hinson, 1+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 2+ pts	$14,471.71	44.0% Yes: 44¢ Vol: $14.5k , trade Hinson, 2+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 3+ pts	$5,952.61	35.0% Yes: 36¢ Vol: $6k , trade Hinson, 3+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 6-9%	$0.00	No market	35.0% Yes: 35¢ — , trade Democrat 6-9% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 9-12%	$0.00	No market	33.0% Yes: 33¢ — , trade Republican 9-12% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 12%+	$52.45	No market	32.0% Yes: 32¢ Vol: $52.45 , trade Republican 12%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 0-3%	$135.59	No market	24.0% Yes: 24¢ Vol: $135.59 , trade Republican 0-3% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 0-3%	$734.05	No market	23.5% Yes: 24¢ Vol: $734.05 , trade Democrat 0-3% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Hinson, 4+ pts	$13,920.44	23.0% Yes: 23¢ Vol: $13.9k , trade Hinson, 4+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 5+ pts	$1,572.70	15.0% Yes: 21¢ Vol: $1.6k , trade Hinson, 5+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 6+ pts	$11,000.50	15.0% Yes: 15¢ Vol: $11k , trade Hinson, 6+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 3-6%	$0.00	No market	10.5% Yes: 11¢ — , trade Democrat 3-6% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrat 9-12%	$925.11	No market	6.0% Yes: 6¢ Vol: $925.11 , trade Democrat 9-12% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Hinson, 10+ pts	$1,895.41	5.4% Yes: 6.3¢ Vol: $1.9k , trade Hinson, 10+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 12+ pts	$911.75	5.3% Yes: 4.8¢ Vol: $911.75 , trade Hinson, 12+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 8+ pts	$1,310.15	5.1% Yes: 7.6¢ Vol: $1.3k , trade Hinson, 8+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Hinson, 14+ pts	$885.19	5.0% Yes: 4.6¢ Vol: $885.19 , trade Hinson, 14+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrat 12%+	$0.11	No market	4.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $0.11 , trade Democrat 12%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 3-6%	$0.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ — , trade Republican 3-6% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Republican 6-9%	$0.00	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ — , trade Republican 6-9% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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