Elections

California Governor margin of victory

Total Volume

$51.8k

Kalshi $28k · Polymarket $23.7k

Leading Market

Democrats, 9+ pts

Kalshi 97%

Democrats, 9+ pts Volume

$4k

Kalshi $4k

Democrats, 9+ pts 24h Change

+0.10%

Kalshi +0.10%

Loading chart…

Market	Kalshi Yes	Kalshi Fee	Kalshi Payout	Polymarket Yes	Polymarket Fee	Polymarket Payout
Democrats, 9+ pts	97.0¢	7.0%	, trade Democrats, 9+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Democrats, 15+ pts	92.9¢	7.0%	, trade Democrats, 15+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Democrats, 12+ pts	96.9¢	7.0%	, trade Democrats, 12+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Democrats, 18+ pts	85.0¢	7.0%	, trade Democrats, 18+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—
Democrats, 21+ pts	72.0¢	7.0%	, trade Democrats, 21+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	—	—	—

* Estimates if candidate wins. Actual returns may vary.

All Markets

Market	Total Volume	Kalshi(opens in a new tab)	Polymarket(opens in a new tab)
Democrats, 9+ pts	$3,993.25	97.0% Yes: 97¢ Vol: $4k , trade Democrats, 9+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 15+ pts	$8,145.37	90.0% Yes: 92.9¢ Vol: $8.1k , trade Democrats, 15+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 12+ pts	$2,410.71	84.0% Yes: 96.9¢ Vol: $2.4k , trade Democrats, 12+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 18+ pts	$3,683.73	84.0% Yes: 85¢ Vol: $3.7k , trade Democrats, 18+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 21+ pts	$3,503.57	63.0% Yes: 72¢ Vol: $3.5k , trade Democrats, 21+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 24+ pts	$2,865.16	55.0% Yes: 55.0¢ Vol: $2.9k , trade Democrats, 24+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Becerra 15-20%	$10,783.90	No market	50.0% Yes: 50¢ Vol: $10.8k , trade Becerra 15-20% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Becerra 0-5%	$0.00	No market	39.0% Yes: 39¢ — , trade Becerra 0-5% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Becerra 10-15%	$1,045.01	No market	39.0% Yes: 39¢ Vol: $1k , trade Becerra 10-15% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Becerra 5-10%	$0.00	No market	39.0% Yes: 39¢ — , trade Becerra 5-10% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrats, 27+ pts	$1,582.06	33.0% Yes: 35¢ Vol: $1.6k , trade Democrats, 27+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Becerra 25-30%	$2,401.92	No market	23.5% Yes: 24¢ Vol: $2.4k , trade Becerra 25-30% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Democrats, 30+ pts	$1,047.15	16.0% Yes: 16¢ Vol: $1k , trade Democrats, 30+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 36+ pts	$380.27	9.7% Yes: 9.9¢ Vol: $380.27 , trade Democrats, 36+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Democrats, 33+ pts	$404.00	9.5% Yes: 12¢ Vol: $404.00 , trade Democrats, 33+ pts on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)	No market
Becerra 30-35%	$823.14	No market	3.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $823.14 , trade Becerra 30-35% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Becerra 35%+	$710.25	No market	3.0% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $710.25 , trade Becerra 35%+ on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Becerra 20-25%	$4,328.76	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $4.3k , trade Becerra 20-25% on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Hilton Washington DC National Mall	$3,642.65	No market	2.5% Yes: 4¢ Vol: $3.6k , trade Hilton Washington DC National Mall on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)